Betsided

Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction and Odds for Tuesday, June 28 (Fade Both Pitchers)

By Matt De Saro

Washington Nationals v New York Mets
Washington Nationals v New York Mets / Mike Stobe/GettyImages
facebooktwitterreddit

Two of the worst teams in the National League square off today when the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals do battle at Nationals Park. Trying to pick a winner between these two losers is no easy task. 

I will say that the Nationals appear to be struggling a lot more at this moment. They entered this series 4-11 in their previous 15 games and 1-3 against Pittsburgh this season. Their pitching is awful and this team cannot buy a run some nights. Let’s dive right into this disaster by reviewing the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Pirates vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, and Total

Run Line

  • Pirates: +1.5 (-195)
  • Nationals: -1.5 (+160)

Moneyline:

  • Pirates: +104
  • Nationals: -114

Total:

  • 8.5 (Over -105/Under -115)

Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction and Pick

On any other team, I think Patrick Corbin would have already been designated with a 6.60 ERA and 1.79 WHIP. But, the Nationals are not most teams and don’t have anyone waiting in the wings to take over Corbin’s spot. It’s telling that Corbin is still a “good” option as far as the Nats are concerned. 

To make matters worse, Corbin has developed a new issue that has been plaguing him this month. Corbin has allowed two home runs in each of his previous three games. He now has four multi-home run games over his last six starts. And while the Pirates don’t have the best offense, Corbin has been getting tagged by teams like the Orioles, Reds, and Rockies this year. The current Pirates are hitting a solid .266 against Corbin over 27 career at-bats. 

Over on the Pirates’ side, it should be said that Jose Quintana isn’t doing much better. The veteran lefty enters this game at 1-4 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.31. And while those numbers are not bad, his ERA in June is 4.63 points higher than it was last month. Quintana has fallen apart in June and is winless since May 9.

Even with both teams struggling across the board, I have more faith in these offenses than these pitchers. The Nats actually rank 7th in batting average, though they struggle to plate runs consistently. That should change tonight and I expect a ton of runs to score on both sides. 

Pick: OVER 8.5 (-105)

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE

Home/MLB Picks