Pittsburgh vs. Vanderbilt Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, December 7 (Commodores Can Cover vs. Panthers at Home)
By Ben Heisler
The ACC and SEC get together in Nashville this evening when the Pittsburgh Panthers (6-3) take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (4-4) at Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville.
The Panthers had about as bad of a stretch to start the season as one could find, but they've since turned their ship around, winning five straight, including two games on the road vs. Northwestern and NC State.
Vanderbilt has been more up-and-down throughout the season, putting out solid performances vs. Temple, Fresno State and Wofford, but also dropping games to Memphis, Saint Mary's and VCU. The Commodores have yet to win more than two games in a row, but have also not lost more than two in a row either.
Can they make it another straight victory and snap the Panthers' five game winning streak?
Here are the latest odds for tonight:
Pittsburgh vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread and Total
Pittsburgh vs. Vanderbilt Prediction and Pick
I'm a bit surprised that the line was Vanderbilt -3 to -3.5 for tonight, given its inconsistencies throughout the year along with the Panthers playing their best basketball of late. But as this line continues to tick towards the Commodores, I'll willing to buy in and take a shot on them at home.
Vandy has a very good defense; ranked 67th in the country in KenPom adjusted defensive efficiency and limiting opposing teams to less than 28% from 3-point range. The team is long and athletic, ranking 44th in the country in block percentage.
The Panthers' are a little more balanced on both sides of the ball, but their strengths are somewhat neutralized offensively by what Vanderbilt can do defensively. More than one third of their points come from 3-pointers, something the Commodores can take away. Pittsburgh also is a very good offensive rebounding team, but Vanderbilt is better at taking second chances away, ranked 47th in the nation at opponent offensive rebounding percentage.
This should be a close game throughout, and the biggest key for Vanderbilt will be its ability to make free throws down the stretch. The Commodores have been a disaster at the line this year, shooting under 62%. With the game at home, that number should go up, and hopefully allow them to cover the 3-points, especially if every other part of their game shows up to play.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.