Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest Prediction, Odds, Against Spread and Over/Under for ACC Championship Game

Pittsburgh and Wake Forest have two of the best offenses in the national and face off in the ACC Championship Game on Saturday night.
Pittsburgh and Wake Forest have two of the best offenses in the national and face off in the ACC Championship Game on Saturday night. / Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
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The prize for the highest total on Saturday’s betting board goes to the No.17 Pitt Panthers and No.18 Wake Forest Demon Deacons at 72.0. If that figure is any indication, this should be one wild ACC Championship Game. Both teams clinched 10-win seasons in Week 13 and spots in the ACC title game. 

Pitt beat up on Syracuse last week 31-14 on the back of quarterback Kenny Pickett. Picket has now crossed the 4,000-yard threshold and will finish the regular season fifth in total passing yards with 4,066. Pickett is also second in touchdowns with 40 and eighth in QBR at 81.1.  

Wake Forest had an even more impressive win in their regular-season finale with a 41-10 victory over Boston College. Sam Hartman led the team with 236 yards passing and three touchdowns while also leading the team in rushing with 51 yards. WF made short work of the Eagles and at no point were the Demon Deacons in danger of losing this game. Sam Hartman will need to work a bit harder to beat Pitt but statistically is a Top-10 QB in the nation.

Let’s take a deep dive into the current odds and trends for the ACC Championship game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest Spread and Over/Under

Spread:

  • Pittsburgh: -3.0 (-110) 
  • Wake Forest: +3.0  (-110) 

Moneyline:

  • Pittsburgh: -150
  • Wake Forest: +130

Total:

  • 72.0 (Over -110/Under -110)

Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest Betting Trends

  • The Panthers are 7-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last nine games. 
  • The OVER is 15-5 in the Panthers’ last 20 games. 
  • The Panthers are 8-1 straight-up (SU) in their last nine games against the ACC.  
  • The OVER is 4-2 in the Panthers’ last six games against the ACC. 
  • The Demon Deacons are 4-2 ATS in their last six games. 
  • The OVER is 6-2 in the Demon Deacons' last eight games. 
  • The Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Coastal Division.

Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest Prediction and Pick

Pickett is the player to keep an eye on in this game. He is one of the best quarterbacks in the country and was a legit Heisman hopeful at one point during the season. He threw four touchdowns in the season finale last week and, in doing so, broke Dan Marino’s single-season TD record at Pitt. He is tied now with Bryce Young with 40 touchdown passes yet isn’t anywhere to be seen in the Heisman odds.

I think he deserves a closer look from the committee considering he is winning games by himself without five-star recruits left and right backing him up. He does have one weapon in Jordan Addison who is in the running for the Biletnikoff Award thanks to his connection with Pickett. Wake Forest must contain the two if it has any shot of keeping this offense in check. 

On the other side of things, Sam Hartman is a dangerous quarterback in his own right but suffers from turnover issues. As stated above, he is a top-10 quarterback in most meaningful stats but, is 102nd in interceptions with 10.

He is also a threat on the ground with 342 yards and 10 rushing touchdowns. Hartman also has the advantage of having two 1,000 yard receivers and not just one as is the case with Pitt. A.T. Perry (1,112 yards, 13 touchdowns) and Jaquarii Roberson (1,024 yards, eight touchdowns) could be a real problem for the Panthers' defense if they get going early. 

So, what can we expect from this game? A lot of points in my guess. These are two of the highest-scoring offenses in the nation and top five in PPG. Both teams have top-10 quarterbacks with Pickett a likely first-round talent. 

Pitt has issues defending the pass and this makes it a risky favorite here. I normally wouldn’t go over a total this high but all signs point towards the highest-scoring game of the weekend. 

Pick: Pitt-Wake Forest OVER 72.0 (-110)

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