Play Yet Another Primetime Under for Titans vs. Packers on Thursday Night Football

The Green Bay Packers made history on Sunday afternoon in their overtime comeback victory thriller over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 10; becoming the only team to ever defeat the Cowboys with a fourth quarter lead of 14 points.

The Packers also stopped the bleeding on a five-game losing streak, their longest since 2014.

Now, they'll turn around quickly from their much-needed win to face the Tennessee Titans, who sit atop the AFC South division by a wide margin, currently at 6-3. Tennessee took down the Denver Broncos at home 17-10 a week ago, limiting Denver's rushing attack to just 65 total yards and forcing three fumbles to quarterback Russell Wilson.

The Titans are a short underdog on the road, but are 5-0 against the spread after a straight up win. How should bettors look to attack the action?

For those looking for prop bets to consider, BetSided's Iain MacMillan shares his top three on the board HERE!

Let's take an updated look at the latest odds for Thursday's primetime affair to kick off the Week 11 slate.

Titans vs. Packers Odds, Spread and Total

Titans vs. Packers Odds, Spread and Total Movement in NFL Week 11

The original lookahead line was set at Green Bay -4.5, but re-opened at Packers -1.5 back on November 8. When it opened again on Sunday evening at -1.5, the line immediately moved to Green Bay -2.5, and eventually up to -3.

The total has moved in multiple directions, re-opening Sunday evening at 41, moving all the way up to 42.5, before falling back down to 41.5 or 41 at most books.

Titans vs. Packers Prediction and Best Bet

At the start of the week, BetSided's Josh Yourish made several compelling arguments about why bettors should consider the Titans in this spot, rather than go back to the Packers after an improbable comeback last Sunday afternoon.

The biggest point he made was that the Green Bay's run defense still hasn't shown much improvement, even in the win. They still allowed Tony Pollard to cruise to 115 yards on the ground on 22 carries along with a touchdown. As Yourish points out, Green Bay has allowed 4.8 yards/carry this year, and gave up 5.67 yards/attempt on Sunday. With Derrick Henry on the horizon, that has potential to be extremely problematic.

While I still lean Green Bay to cover the three points at home, I buy the value on the under instead.

The Titans' defensive turnaround has been the sole reason for their success in the AFC South. Tennessee ranks in the top 5 in the NFL in opponent points/play, as well as owning the No. 1 opponent 3rd down conversion percentage. As a result, the under has hit in their last six games, as well as in four straight matchups on the road.

Green Bay will have issues stopping the Titans' run game, especially if they commit fervently to it. But, the Titans' can't move the ball through the air at all; ranking 30th in passes/game, 31st in passing yards/game, and can't protect either Ryan Tannehill, ranking 29th in quarterback sack percentage.

Perhaps they'll learn something from the film from Tennessee's matchup last week vs. the Denver Broncos, who limited King Henry to under 55 yards for the first time since 2020.

Even if Henry hangs in, that still churns the clock and keeps Rodgers, Aaron Jones and newly-found big play threat Christian Watson off the field.

Unders have gone 20-11 in primetime so far through 10 weeks of the NFL season. I say it goes to 21-11 after this game.

Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.