Predators vs. Blues Prediction and Odds: Regression is Coming for St. Louis
Two of the top teams in the NHL's Western Conference are set to face-off on Sunday night when the Nashville Predators take on the St. Louis Blues.
The Predators are tied with the Avalanche atop the conference with 51 points, but Colorado has four games in hand. The Blues are right behind Nashville, with 49 points including a game in hand on the Preds.
The two teams met once already this season. The Predators took the 4-3 decision in overtime.
Let's take a look at the odds via WynnBET for this Central Division matchup.
Predators vs. Blues Odds and Total
Moneyline:
- Predators +110
- Blues -130
Puck line:
- Predators +1.5 (-220)
- Blues -1.5 (+180)
Total:
- 6 (Over -105/Under -115)
Predators vs. Blues Betting Trends
- The OVER is 4-1 in the Predators' last five games.
- Predators are 5-0 in their last five games against the Blues.
- Predators are 7-0 in their last seven games vs. Western Conference opponents.
- The UNDER is 8-4 in the Blues' last 12 games.
- The UNDER is 7-1 in the Blues' last eight home games.
- Blues are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
Predators vs. Blues Prediction and Pick
If I were to point out an NHL team right that is "fraudulent," AKA their record is better than it deserves to be, it's the St. Louis Blues. They rank 19th in the NHL in CORSI%, and they also rank 21st or worse in both high danger scoring chances for, and high danger scoring chances against.
Look no further than their expected goals statistics for proof of this. They're scoring 0.53 more goals per 60 minutes than expected, and allowing 0.28 fewer goals per 60 minutes than expected. If advanced analytics are any indication, the Blues are due for regression.
Meanwhile, people still aren't respecting a Predators team that ranks fifth in NHL in high danger scoring chances against, allowing just 9.77 per 60 minutes of play.
I'll fade St. Louis and take Nashville as a road underdog.