Providence vs. Butler Prediction and Odds (Bulldogs Will Keep it Close)

Butler and Providence are set to face-off in Sunday afternoon Big East action.
Butler and Providence are set to face-off in Sunday afternoon Big East action. / Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports
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One of the most surprising teams of the year, the Providence Friars, will attempt to hold on to the top spot in the Big East today when they hit the road to take on the Butler Bulldogs.

Providence is coming off a loss to second-place Villanova, but still holds on to first place in the conference with a 11-2 Big East record. Butler, on the other hand, is largely playing for pride at this point in the season as their March Madness hopes are all but dead. They're entering the game off a 91-57 loss to St. John's.

Let's take a look at the odds via WynnBET for today's afternoon Big East showdown.

Providence vs. Butler Odds, Spread, and Total

Spread:

  • Providence -3.5 (-110)
  • Butler +3.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Providence -170
  • Butler +140

Total:

129 (Over -110/Under -110)

Providence vs. Butler Betting Trends

  • The OVER is 7-3 in Providence's last 10 games.
  • Providence 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games vs. Butler.
  • Providence is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games.
  • Butler is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games.
  • The OVER is 10-2 in Butler's last 12 games.

Providence vs. Butler Prediction and Pick

It may seem crazy for a game to only have a 3.5-point spread when its a matchup between the best team in the Big East and one of the worst teams in the Big East. Regardless, I'm going to lean towards Butler in this matchup.

Butler has been shooting significantly better on its home court this season, with its effective field goal percentage increasing from 43.7% on the road to 51.3% at home. Its opponent effective field goal percentage is also much better at home, dropping from 53% to 47.7%.

The Big East is one of the most competitive conferences, so don't let the difference in their records make you think this game will be a blowout.

Lean: Butler +3.5


Iain is 67-61-2 (+2.27 units) with his college basketball bets this 2021-22 season. You can find his detailed record for the 2022 calendar year here.