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Purdue vs. Iowa Prediction, Odds and Spread for College Football Week 7

By Reed Wallach

Purdue cornerback Jamari Brown (7) and Purdue linebacker Jaylan Alexander (36) celebrate after
Purdue cornerback Jamari Brown (7) and Purdue linebacker Jaylan Alexander (36) celebrate after / Nikos Frazier / Journal & Courier
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Yes, that is a No. 2 next to Iowa’s name. After knocking off Penn State last week, the team hosts Purdue, who is coming off of a bye. 

Will Iowa handle their business and continue their College Football Playoff journey, or can the Boilermakers make some noise at Kinnick Field on Saturday afternoon?

Here are the opening odds at WynnBET Sportsbook

Purdue vs. Iowa Odds

Spread

Purdue: +12 (-110)

Iowa: -12 (-110)

Moneyline

Purdue: +400

Iowa: -500

Total: 43.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Purdue vs. Iowa Betting Trends

  • Jeff Brohm is 8-3 since taking over Purdue ATS against ranked opponents
  • Brohm is 3-1 at Purdue against Iowa
  • Brohm is 8-5 ATS off of a bye

Purdue vs. Iowa Prediction

Iowa continues to get by with their elite defense. The unit allows 13 points per game (fourth-lowest in the country) and turn their opponents over at the highest clip in the country, more than two takeaways per game.

The defense is legit and you can’t make mistakes if you want to stay with this Hawkeyes team. It’s unclear as of now who will be starting at quarterback for the Boilermakers, as Jack Plummer and Aiden O’Connell have each gotten time this season, O’Connell most recently in the team’s loss to Minnesota two weeks ago. 

The key matchup for the pass-happy Boilermakers will be David Bell against a seemingly short handed Iowa secondary. No. 1 cornerback Riley Moss was hurt against Penn State last week and isn't listed on the depth chart. If the Hawkeyes aren’t able to turn their opponent over they can be in trouble with their struggles on offense.

Iowa’s offense has allowed 14 sacks this season and is outside the top 100 in offensive success rate. 

Purdue’s defense hasn’t been able to force turnovers like the Hawkeyes, but they generate a ton of pressure with defensive end George Karlaftis, posting a top five defensive success rate this season.

As mentioned above, Brohm has Ferentz’s number, 3-1 against the Iowa head coach in his career. It’s also worth noting that Iowa hasn’t thrived as a double digit favorite this season. The team led by nine as 22.5-point favorites late in the third quarter against Kent State before garbage time scores got them a cover by the hook, and trailed at half to Colorado State as 24-point favorites before winning by 10. 

I’ve been burned by fading Iowa this season, but I’m going back to it this weekend. If Purdue protects the rock and plays the field position game, this game will become a slog, making the two possession spread even more valuable.

Pick: Purdue +12, play to +11

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