Raiders vs. Chiefs Prediction: Don't Count Out Las Vegas on Monday Night Football

Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Derek Carr.
Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Derek Carr. / Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
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Week 5 of the NFL will conclude on Monday night when the Las Vegas Raiders head to Arrowhead to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in an AFC West showdown.

The Raiders finally got their first win of the season last week, and will look to get back into the mix of the AFC West if they can pull off the upset of the Chiefs. Meanwhile, Kansas City once again looks like a Super Bowl contender. They're fourth in the NFL in average scoring margin at +8.3.

Let's take a look at the latest odds for this AFC West matchup.

Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, and Total

Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, and Total Movement

The Chiefs originally opened as 6.5-point favorites. The line has moved up a point, and the Chiefs are now 7.5-point favorites. The total increased one point from 50.5 to 51.5.

Raiders vs. Chiefs Prediction and Pick

With the spread set as higher than a touchdown, I'm inclined to take the Raiders. The two offenses are closer than you may think. The Chiefs rank seventh in yards per play, averaging 6.0 yards per snap, while the Raiders rank 13th in yards per play, averaging 5.6. Yes, Kansas City has had better offensive numbers, but not enough to justify the current spread.

When looking at the two defenses, the Chiefs is significantly better than the Raiders, but there's one area that gives me cause for concern. Heading into today's game, the Chiefs rank 31st in the NFL in opponent completion percentage, allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 70.29% of their throws.

That makes me think that Derek Carr and company will be able to move the ball throughout, and should find enough to success to at least keep this game to within a touchdown.

I'll take the Raiders with the points on Monday Night Football.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.