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Rams vs. Chiefs Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 12 (Don't Expect Repeat of 2018 Shootout Between LA and KC)

By Iain MacMillan

The Chiefs Travis Kelce catches a Patrick Mahomes touchdown pass on Monday against the Rams at the
The Chiefs Travis Kelce catches a Patrick Mahomes touchdown pass on Monday against the Rams at the / CHUCK KIRMAN/THE STAR
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The last time the Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City Chiefs played, they combined for 105 points in what many people believe was the best regular season NFL game of the past decade.

Don't expect a similar offensive shootout when the two teams meet this Sunday, as the Rams head into the game ranking dead last in offensive yards per play. Los Angeles is having one of the worst seasons for a defending Super Bowl champion in recent history, and it'll be tough for the Rams to put up much of a fight at Arrowhead Stadium.

Let's dive into the latest odds for the game.

Rams vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, and Total

Rams vs. Chiefs Betting Trends

  • Rams are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games
  • The UNDER is 8-4 in the Rams' last 12 games
  • Chiefs are 6-0-1 in last seven games against Rams
  • Chiefs are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games
  • Chiefs are 8-0 straight up in last eight games against NFC opponents
  • Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as favorites

Rams vs. Chiefs Prediction and Pick

I'll very rarely lay two touchdowns worth of points, but I'm shockingly going to do it against the defending champs.

Quite simply, this is a game between the best offense in football, and the worst. The Chiefs lead the NFL in yards per play, averaging 6.5 yards per snap. Meanwhile, the Rams are dead last in yards per play, averaging only 4.7 yards per snap. That's a difference of 1.8 yards per snap in favor of the home team, which is a gigantic margin.

The Chiefs also lad the NFL in third down conversion percentage and they're third in red zone offense. The Rams, on the other hand, are 17th and 24th in those two categories and now they're without their top player in Cooper Kupp, and Matt Stafford is questionable while in concussion protocol.

If you know me, you know I rarely recommend laying double digit points on a team, let alone two touchdowns. This is one of the rare instances that I think it's warranted.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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