Ravens vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 8

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4) are spiraling unlike any Tom Brady team has before. Brady and the Bucs managed just three points against the tanking Carolina Panthers in the 21-3 loss. PJ Walker was clearly the best quarterback in the game. 

The Baltimore Ravens (4-3) didn’t exactly set the world on fire in Week 7 either. Lamar Jackson completed just nine passes, they were outgained by the Browns 336 to 254, but a few timely scores and a Cleveland false start on the game-tying field goal attempt helped them hold on 23-20. 

Now, on Thursday Night Football, it’s Brady and the Bucs hosting Lamar and the Ravens, so let’s check out the odds. 

Ravens vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread and Total

Tampa Bay and Baltimore Betting Trends

• Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS
• Baltimore is 2-4-1 ATS
• Tampa Bay’s games have gone 6-1 to the under
• Baltimore’s games have gone 5-2 to the under
• Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in last five after a straight up loss of more than 14 points

Ravens vs. Buccaneers Prediction and Pick

The Tampa Bay offense is broken. It looks worse than even the bad Tom Brady offenses in New England back in 2019. The losses to their offensive line were apparently too much to handle. The running game is non-existent, they ran the ball 16 times for 46 yards against Carolina. Luke Godeke, their rookie left guard has been terrorized all season and it is leading to big problems. Two weeks ago against Pittsburgh, Cam Heyward was in the backfield constantly and when he wasn’t he was drawing a holding call on Godeke. Godeke has a PFF Grade of 38.2 overall and has already allowed 19 pressures. 

I would expect the Ravens to use the same model Pittsburgh had defensively and allow Calais Campbell to wreck the game. Brady has never dealt well with pressure up the middle and he’ll get a lot of that this week. Despite the faults of his offensive line and running game, Brady himself hasn’t been outstanding either. He went 32/49 for 290 yards against Carolina, but is clearly unwilling to hold onto the ball long enough to let offense develop. His average depth of target (adot) is 7.8 this season, by far the lowest of his career. He did take a shot deep yesterday and it pretty much summed up their offensive performance. 

Baltimore is not a perfect team, they only completed nine passes against the Browns last week, but their defense has been improving. They’ve been able to get more consistent pressure and sacked Jacoby Brissett five times. I expect them to get to Brady too and I trust Lamar Jackson to make plays down the stretch much more than I trust Brady right now.  

Pick: Ravens -1 (-107)

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change