The oldest player in Major League Baseball, Rich Hill, continues to make his mark on the sport, but can he get the slumping Red Sox on track in Arlington, Texas?
The Red Sox are 12-20, but Hill has been one of the stalwarts of a banged up rotation, pitching to a 2.86 ERA. He'll try to navigate the Red Sox to victory against a fellow American League basement dweller in the Texas Rangers, who are falling short of expectations despite signing Corey Seager and Marcus Semien this offseason.
Which team can make up ground on Saturday? Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook:
Red Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Total
- Red Sox: +1.5 (-195)
- Rangers; -1.5 (+160)
- Red Sox: +107
- Rangers: -117
Total: 8 (Over -115/Under -105)
Red Sox vs. Rangers Prediction and Pick
Boston's offense can't get going this season, 27th in wRC+ which indicates the team is generating a very small amount of run scoring opportunities, but they can get to Rangers starter Glenn Otto on Saturday. Otto has some promise in his first full season, but his FIP indicates he's pitching above his head right now, benefitting from some variance in the field. With an ERA 3.14 but a FIP of 4.74, we may see some regression for Otto in his first full season.
Meanwhile, Hill keeps chugging along, but may be in trouble against a Rangers lineup that isn't the most consistent hitting lefties, but when they do they go deep. The team is 18th in batting average against lefties, but have the fourth most home runs.
Hill has been allowing fly ball contact on 73% of balls in play but only a home run on less than 6% of them. We can see some regression against a power hitting team like the Rangers, leading me to the over on Saturday night.
LEAN: OVER 8 (-115)
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