Reds vs. Brewers Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, May 4 (Count on Offenses in NL Central Meeting)

The Cincinnati Reds are taking bottoming out to a new level.

The 3-20 Cincinnati Reds are matched up against the NL Central leading Milwaukee Brewers, who are nearly -300 favorites on Wednesday night. This is a big mismatch, but how should we bet it with such a wide moneyline? Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook as well as our most valuable bet.

Reds vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Total

Run Line:

• Reds: +1.5 (+105)
• Brewers: -1.5 (-125)

Moneyline:

• Reds: +230
• Brewers: -270

Total: 7.5 (Over -115/Under -105)

Reds vs. Brewers Prediction and Pick

Oddsmakers are trying their hardest to avoid attracting bets on either side of Reds games as its tough to quantify how bad a 3-20 start is and what the true price is on this club, especially against a NL contender like the Brewers.

I'm going to look to the total in this Wednesday night matchup. Cincy will send out Vladimir Gutiérrez against Milwaukee, who is struggling to find his control in 2022. He leads the league in walks this season with 15 and has hit four batters as well. With his inability to keep runners off the base paths, Gutiérrez is going to be under duress all night long.

After him, he will be passing the baton over to the bullpen with the fourth worst ERA in the bigs this season.

While the Brewers should hand the Reds another loss, I can't trust the erratic Freddy Peralta at this price. He has an ERA that sits at 5.00 but his FIP is much better, 2.74 with strikeout-heavy tendencies (11.5 per 9 innings) but I'm not going to bank on regression just yet.

With such a high moneyline, I'm going to count on the Reds to plate a few runs early before the Brewers pass it to their top-five bullpen (by ERA) and for Milwaukee to tag the porous Reds pitching staff.

LEAN: OVER 7.5 (-115)

You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!