Reds vs. Cubs Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, June 29 (Value on Total at Wrigley)
By Peter Dewey
Two of the worst teams in baseball will face off on Wednesday, June 29 at Wrigley Field, as the Chicago Cubs host the Cincinnati Reds at 8:05 p.m. EST.
The Reds come into this matchup as winners of two straight, but they are still 1.5 games behind the Cubs in the NL Central.
Cincy will send rookie Hunter Greene (3-8, 5.66 ERA) to the mound against Justin Steele (2-5, 4.59 ERA). Greene has really struggled at times in his rookie season, but the Reds have no other choice but to let him work through things at the Major League level.
With neither of these teams going anywhere this season, who should we back on Wednesday?
Here are the odds for this game via WynnBET:
Reds vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Reds: +1.5 (-180)
- Cubs: -1.5 (+150)
Moneyline:
- Reds: +123
- Cubs: -133
Total:
- 8 (Over +105/Under -125)
Reds vs. Cubs Prediction and Pick
I can’t believe that we’re getting an OVER at plus money between these two terrible teams.
The Reds rank dead last in baseball in team ERA this season (5.32) while the Cubs are 26th (4.85). Now, with two struggling pitchers on the mound, I think it’s the time to trust these offenses, even though they haven’t been the greatest either in 2022.
Greene can be lights out when he’s on, the issue is that has happened very rarely in his rookie season. Over his last six starts, Greene has allowed four or more runs in four of them. He was lights out against the Arizona Diamondbacks, allowing just one hit in seven innings of work, but he’s sandwiched that with games where he’s allowed five, six and four runs in five or less innings of work.
As for Steele, his ERA has hovered between 4.00 and 5.00 almost all season, and he was rocked by Pittsburgh in his last outing.
Considering that the Reds are 15th in the league in OPS against lefties, I think we see both starters struggle in this matchup.
Lean: OVER 8 (+105)
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.