Reds vs. Marlins Prediction and Odds for Monday, August 1 (Young Pitchers Who Haven't Lived Up to the Hype)
By Josh Yourish
The Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins are getting awfully familiar with each other in the second half of the season. They recently played a four-game series to a draw and now three days later they have a three-game set to settle the score.
The Reds come to south beach off of a series victory over Baltimore and sit at 40-61 on the season, while Miami was swept by the Mets and are now 47-55.
Jesus Luzardo is making his return from injury for Miami for his seventh start of the season and Hunter Greene is taking the mound for the 20th time.
Odds are available at WynnBET Sportsbook.
Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line
- Reds +1.5 (-196)
- Marlins -1.5 (+185)
Moneyline
- Reds +104
- Marlins -110
Total
- 8 (Over -105 / Under -115)
Reds vs. Marlins Prediction and Pick
In what is a pretty terrible matchup between two teams well under .500, this is an intriguing pitching matchup. Hunter Greene is a former No. 2 overall pick who was a highly touted prospect coming into the year, but he has struggled in his rookie campaign. Greene has a 5.59 ERA and a 5.18 fielding independent pitching. Yet, there is still a lot of hope that Greene eventually lives up to the hype.
Jesus Luzardo is an example of what happens when a top prospect takes time to live up to that hype. Luzardo looked like he could’ve been a top end left-handed starter in Oakland and was swapped for Starling Marte last season. Luzardo has a 4.03 ERA this season in Miami and a 3.74 FIP. He has shown flashes, but has not lived up to his billing yet and missed a lot of time with an injury. Tonight will be his first start since May 10.
Neither pitcher has quite reached their potential, and with Luzardo coming off of an injury, this game could easily go over eight runs.
Pick: Over 8.0 (-105)
Follow all Josh’s bets HERE