Reds vs. Rockies Prediction and Odds for Friday, April 29th (Reds Disastrous Season Continues)

Antonio Senzatela has been marvelous at home and hopes to continue his strong start as the Rockies host the Reds today
Antonio Senzatela has been marvelous at home and hopes to continue his strong start as the Rockies host the Reds today / Duane Burleson/GettyImages
facebooktwitterreddit

We've got a battle of two struggling squads coming off sweeps as the 10-9 Colorado Rockies host the 3-16 Cincinnati Reds tonight at 8:40 PM EST.

The Reds have won just once in their last 15 games, which seems almost impossible, while the Rockies were outscored by the Phillies 32-9 in a four-game sweep.

Promising young hurler Hunter Greene will try to stop the bleeding for Cincinnati. He's compiled a 5.27 ERA across 13.2 innings in three starts so far this year, but ranks in the 100th percentile in fastball velocity and has an incredible knack for generating swings and misses.

Colorado will counter with Antonio Senzatela, who had a rough outing against the Tigers in his last appearance but gave up just one earned run in each of his first two starts of the season.

Can Greene harness his massive potential to get the Reds back in the win column or will the Rockies take advantage of a ballclub that can't stop losing?

Let's take a gander at the odds from WynnBET to help us find out ahead of this Reds vs Rockies matchup:

Reds vs Rockies Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Reds +1.5 (-175)
  • Rockies -1.5 (+145)

Moneyline:

  • Reds: +112
  • Rockies: -122

Total:

  • 10 (Over -110/Under -110)

Reds vs Rockies Prediction and Pick

Antonio Senzatela has been marvelous in his two starts at Coors Field. He surrendered just two earned runs and one walk total in 8.1 innings of work, and his 3.52 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) implies he's unlucky to have a 4.73 ERA through three starts.

This will be the first start at Coors for Hunter Greene, and while I love the kid's stuff, that doesn't typically go well for pitchers. His strength is his wicked fastball and his ability to generate strikeouts, but Colorado has the sixth-fewest strikeouts per game in the league so they should be able to mitigate that advantage.

The Reds are 1-14 in their last 15 games and all 14 losses came by multiple runs. They're dead last in the MLB in team OPS and team ERA. So they're the worst team at getting on base and the worst team at preventing runs. That's a no good, very bad, horrible, terrible combination.

Colorado, meanwhile, ranks third in OPS and will be eager to take their frustrations out on Cincinnati. This is a perfect get-right spot for the Rockies and I think they pour it on the Reds behind another strong home performance from Senzatela.

Pick: Rockies -1.5 (+145)


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.