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Reds vs. Rockies Prediction and Odds for Saturday, April 30th (Continuing to Confidently Fade the Reds )

By Matt De Saro

Colorado Rockies v Detroit Tigers
Colorado Rockies v Detroit Tigers / Nic Antaya/GettyImages
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The Cincinnati Reds continue to prove to me that they are the worst MLB team we have seen in quite some time. They are 20 games into the season and have just three victories to their name. Two of those wins came in their first series of the year. So, the Reds have won just once since April 12. After that win, the Reds fell back into line and lost four straight. 

Tonight, the Colorado Rockies have the privilege of playing this awful team in Game 2 of this three-game set. Colorado crushed the Reds 10-4 last night thanks to a three-run moonshot by Ryan McMahon to break a tie in the fifth inning. 

Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Reds vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, and Total

Run Line

  • Reds: +1.5 (-150)
  • Rockies: -1.5 (+125)

Moneyline:

  • Reds: +128
  • Rockies: -138

Total:

  • Total 11 (Over -110/Under -110)

Reds vs. Rockies Prediction and Pick

Nothing is going right for the Reds this year. Heck, they are even misjudging routine fly balls now. Last night Tommy Pham dropped an Alan Trejo fly to the left that allowed Colorado to score four runs in the seventh inning. It’s just all going so wrong. 

The Reds took their sweet time announcing who will start this game with Connor Overton eventually getting the call. Overton is making his season debut for the Reds after being forced to miss most of camp due to food poisoning. He admitted that the short time he spent there wasn’t enough and he was “fighting myself the whole time.” These are not encouraging words. Overton finished 2021 with an 8.31 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 15 ⅓ innings with the Pirates. I think he’s been fighting himself for quite some time now. 

Meanwhile, Chad Kuhl gets the nod for Colorado. Kuhl has been fantastic this year with a 1.10 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. He’s allowed just two earned runs all season and has yet to give up a home run.  

This doesn’t need to be complicated. The Reds are easily the worst all-around team in baseball right now. The Rockies aren’t setting the world on fire, but they have a winning record at least. They also have a red-hot pitcher on the mound. The Reds are 1-15 against the spread in their last 16 games. I have no reason to assume that the Reds avoid an ATS loss again tonight. 

Pick: Rockies -1.5 (+125)

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE

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