Reed's Underdog Round Robin for Week 6

We have arrived at Week 6 in the college football season! While many teams are on byes this week, there are still underdogs to bet and hopefully cash big on.

Overall, the moneyline plays in this weekly article are 11-5 overall. 

Here are five more plays for this week, with odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Again, this is a lottery ticket with a huge payout, far from a lock, and I’m going bolder than before on this card, taking five underdogs and ditching the small favorite. 

Onward!

Duke (+160) vs. Georgia Tech

I am also on the over in this game, which makes me more confident in Duke to spring the upset.

Blue Devils head coach David Cutcliffe is great as a home underdog 19-16-1 against the spread, and we have seen the Blue Devils win as a home underdog already this season, knocking off Northwestern as 2.5-point dogs.

Georgia Tech has been an up-and-down team this season, hanging around with Clemson on the road, knocking off UNC at home, but then getting boat raced by Pitt at home. 

Mataeo Durant is averaging more than six yards per carry as the Blue Devils bellcow running back, and I’ll back the Duke offense to knock off GT. 

Florida Atlantic (+170) vs. UAB

Florida Atlantic is live in this spot, mostly because their metrics are a bit skewed. The team faced one of the elite rushing units in Florida early in the season and then had to travel to Colorado Springs to face a triple option opponent, Air Force. 

This makes the Owls rush defense numbers look poor, but they are a veteran defense that is top 50 in defensive success rate and will be facing a UAB offense that runs the ball more than two thirds of the time. I'll count on the undervalued Florida Atlantic D.

Not to mention, adding Miami transfer N’Kosi Perry has injected life into the FAU passing game. Perry is pushing the ball down field, averaging nearly nine yards per pass attempt and the team is 36th in EPA per pass while UAB is outside the top 100. 

I’ll take a stab at FAU to pull the outright upset on the road. 

East Carolina (+310) vs. UCF

I spoke about ECU in the early leans video with the BetSided, but there are simply too many injuries on the UCF side, generating value on East Carolina.

Not only will the Golden Knights be without their starting quarterback Dillon Gabriel, head coach Gus Malzahn said that starting running back Isaiah Bowser and wide receiver Jaylon Robinson are “week-to-week” after missing the team’s loss to Navy last week. 

ECU has held up on the road at Appalachian State and nearly had a win at South Carolina earlier this season. As well, the team went to Marshall and got a win.

I make this game inside of a touchdown, but in reality, there are so many variables on the UCF not to bet the money line.

Nebraska (+140) vs. Michigan

There may not be a team in the country more desperate team for a signature victory than Scott Frost’s Nebraska Cornhuskers. 

Well, this is the perfect time for them to get it. Michigan is up to No. 9 in the AP Poll, but I still have not been convinced this is a top 10 club with wins against 1-3 Wisconsin and a banged up Washington team at home. 

Nebraska will be a stiff test under the lights at home, who are quietly playing fantastic football, holding the Oklahoma offense to 23 points on the road and an overtime loss at East Lansing to Michigan State. 

If not for some special teams blunders, this Nebraska team might be back in the top 25. 

This Cornhuskers defense is top 10 in tackles for loss this season, and I think they take care of a road-weary Michigan team, who are playing their second straight conference road game. 

Utah (+140) vs. USC

Kyle Whittingham is outstanding off of a bye, 18-10-2 ATS and covering by more than a touchdown on average. 

I like that he will get an extra week to continue to bring along new quarterback Cameron Rising, but ultimately the Utes will have a serious advantage on the ground.

The team is averaging more than 5.5 yards per carry and will be facing a USC defense that is outside the top 80 in YPC allowed and bottom 30 in defensive success rate. 

Utah, with extra rest to scheme for the USC air raid offense, and an edge on the ground are ripe for an upset.

Just missed the cut: Arkansas (+180), Memphis (+145), Texas (+140)

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