Reed's Underdog Round Robin for College Football Week 9

We are back for another round robin filled college football slate.

Last weeks robin went 2-4, bringing this weekly segment to 17-15 on the year. We are still in the net positive with a few big weeks, but the last few have cooled off. With conferences like the MAC not in action this week the pickings are slim, but I still put together five plays for Saturday.

As always, don't make this a big part of your bank roll, this is a small piece for a big payout. These odds are courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Michigan State (+165) vs. Michigan

Both of these teams haven't proved much to me this season, yet are still undefeated and enter a massive matchup that will make or break each of them.

Michigan's offense is completely reliant on the run game, Cade McNamara provides zero threat as a passer, and Michigan State is elite at stopping the run, allowing 3.27 yards per carry. If the team is able to put Michigan in passing downs, they can dial up the pressure and get in the backfield. The Spartans defense is near the top of the country in sacks with 26.

On the other side, Michigan has the defensive chops as well to limit Kenneth Walker and the Sparty rush attack, but this feels like a game that can go down to the wire in a low scoring affair, making the home dog that much more attractive.

I'm more confident in Michigan State making a few big plays down the field and stealing this one.

Hawai'i (+180) vs. Utah State

This line really comes down to if Chevan Cordeiro plays or not. If he's the starting quarterback is in, I love Hawai'i here, who I actually make a favorite with the dynamic signal caller in the lineup.

He warmed up last week but was held out. Head coach Todd Graham made it seem like he'll be a game time decision again, so we'll see.

If he does go, and I'll be optimistic that he is, Hawai'i will be able to move the ball against a Utah State defense that is 99th in success rate and only has nine sacks on the year. The defense is prone to getting beat for big plays and Cordeiro can take advantage of that with both his arm and legs.

This line isn't adjusting to the fact that the Rainbow Warriors might have their starting quarterback, so I'll take a shot.

Auburn (-135) vs. Ole Miss

Auburn is my favorite favorite this week, so I'm happy to get them in the RR. You can see my full thoughts on this matchup here, but I can't see Ole Miss getting up for this game given their schedule.

The team has played at Alabama, Arkansas, at Tennessee, and LSU in successive weeks and now go to face an Auburn team that can challenge a subpar defense. The Tigers are coming off of a bye and have a running back in Tank Bigsby that will make a sloppy Rebels defense pay and a quarterback in Bo Nix that can beat them deep.

This is a terrible spot for Ole Miss, I love Auburn here.

North Carolina (+150) vs. Notre Dame

North Carolina has fallen way short of expectations this season, but they are live against the Irish, who lost their best defensive player in safety Kyle Hamilton. Hamilton is a likely top 10 pick in the NFL Draft and will be sorely missed against an explosive UNC offense, led by quarterback Sam Howell.

The Tar Heels are coming off of a bye, so expect Mack Brown to have his team ready to go into South Bend, and a wounded Notre Dame team to struggle to stop the passing game of UNC.

Fresno State (+100) vs. San Diego State

Fresno nearly squandered a late lead to Nevada last week, but are rolling in Mountain West play, and head to San Diego to take on an Aztec team in a battle to determine who will be first in the West division.

SDSU prides themselves on defense, top 10 in a majority of advanced metrics, but their offense is an eye sore. We bet on this team last week as well and enjoyed an outright win against Air Force, a team that is ground-driven with the triple option. San Diego State wins on defense and can't keep up when opponents are able to put up some numbers on the scoreboard.

The Bulldogs are different, and will be the biggest and most unique challenge to Brady Hoke's team. Led by quarterback Jake Haener, Fresno State is going to air the ball out and find the end zone. I expect them to push this game into a territory San Diego State is not comfortable playing at, high scoring.

If Fresno break 21 points, I'm confident they win this game. They have been the best team in the MWC this season and have faced tough opponents such as Oregon and UCLA (beating the Bruins on the road). They won't be scared of a big conference game, I like the small dog.