Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Oddsfor Friday, May 6 (Trio of Bets Worth A Look)

Merrill Kelly looks to continue his dominant start as the Diamondbacks host the Rockies tonight
Merrill Kelly looks to continue his dominant start as the Diamondbacks host the Rockies tonight / Scott Kane/GettyImages
facebooktwitterreddit

We've got a matchup between two of the hottest teams in baseball tonight as the 13-13 Arizona Diamondbacks host the 15-10 Colorado Rockies tonight at 9:40 PM EST.

Arizona is 7-2 over their last nine after sweeping Miami and will send ace Merrill Kelly to the mound, who has been simply superb. Kelly has a 1.27 ERA and has allowed one of fewer runs in four of his five starts.

Chad Kuhl gets the call for Colorado and he's been great too, tossing a quality start in each of his last three outings while compiling a 1.90 ERA.

Can the Rockies slow the surging Diamondbacks down or will Arizona stay hot behind Kelly?

Let's check out the odds from WynnBET to help find some value in this Rockies vs Diamondbacks matchup:

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Rockies: +1.5 (-170)
  • Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140)

Moneyline:

  • Rockies: +130
  • Diamondbacks: -140

Total:

  • 8.5 (Over -115/Under 105)

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction and Pick

Both of these starting pitchers have been exceptional so far this year. Merrill Kelly hasn't allowed a run in three of his five starts en route to a dominant 1.27 ERA. He's in the 76th percentile in chase rate and is routinely making batters look foolish:

On the other end, Kuhl has done a fantastic job limiting walks and has a quality start each of his last three. Colorado has won five of their last six but have been much worse on the road, getting swept by the Phillies in their last trip. They lead MLB in OPS but fall to ninth on the road. Still great, but not quite elite.

I think both pitchers will perform well and love the First Five under in this one. Colorado and Arizona have two of the four worst bullpen ERAs, so I'm weary of the full-game under. But Kelly and Kuhl are good enough to keep the total low in the first several innings.

In fact, I'm feeling a bit spicy. Let's go with both the First Five Under AND the No Run First Inning. Let's have some fun with it.

Arizona should stay hot and get the job done today as well, though. Kuhl gave up three runs to Cincinnati in his last outing and Kelly is coming off a seven-inning shutout of St. Louis. Colorado's bullpen is slightly worse and with their struggles on the road, I like the Diamondbacks to stay hot at home.

Pick: First Five Innings Under 4.5 (-115), No Run First Inning (-120), and Diamondbacks (-140)


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.