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Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Odds for Saturday, May 7 (Arizona Winning Despite Inconsistent Hitting)

By Matt De Saro

Colorado Rockies v Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies v Arizona Diamondbacks / Norm Hall/GettyImages
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The Colorado Rockie and Arizona Diamondbacks play the second game of their three-game weekend series today at Chase Field.

The D-Backs took game one at home 4-1 against their NL West rivals, but are still in last place in the division. Despite this, the Diamondbacks are surging a bit to start the month. More than a bit actually with eight wins in their last 10 games heading into the weekend. Their lack of offense makes this equally impressive and confusing. 

The Rockies, meanwhile, lead the MLB in batting average but have the 26th worst team ERA at 4.56. Their bullpen is the second-worst in the league at 4.87.

Who comes out on top between a team that can’t hit and a team that can’t pitch? Let’s dig deeper and make a prediction on this potential dumpster fire. 

Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, and Total

Run Line

  • Rockies: +1.5 (-190)
  • Diamondbacks: -1.5 (+155)

Moneyline:

  • Rockies: +112
  • Diamondbacks: -122

Total:

  • Total 8.5 (Over -120/Under +100)

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Pick

I said above that the Diamondbacks' modest run has me scratching my head a bit. This is because they have the worst batting average in the league at .191. How does a team hitting .191 win eight of their last 10? Maybe they’ve turned a corner.

Hitting for average doesn’t always mean wins, and Arizona is proving that. The biggest thing that Arizona is doing is not stranding runners and ranking seventh in that category. The D-Backs also hit for a lot of power. They lead the league in extra-base hits and rank seventh in home runs. When you add some of these factors together, the Diamondbacks have the sixth-best secondary average in the league.

So, the answer to how Arizona is winning with a sub .200 BA is that when they hit the ball, they hit it hard. I suppose you can look at it in terms of quality over quantity. All that matters is it’s working for them. 

Pick: Diamondbacks -122 ML

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE

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