Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Odds for Sunday, July 10 (Total Too Low For Two Struggling Pitchers)

The Arizona Diamondbacks put the brakes on their losing streak and halted it at three games with a 9-2 win over the Colorado Rockies last night. Madison Bumgarner spun a gem and Arizona’s lineup went off at the plate. It was a big win for the Diamondbacks as it moved them out of a tie with Colorado for last place in the division.

Still, Arizona trails the Dodgers by 17.5 games and has no chance to make that ground up. For me, the race for last place gets a lot more interesting when the race for first is a runaway.

Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, and Total

Run Line

• Rockies: -1.5 (+150)
• Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-180)

Moneyline:

• Rockies: -102
• Diamondbacks: -108

Total:

• Total 9 (Over -105/Under -115)

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Pick

Right off the top, choosing one of these two pitchers to saddle up with is not easy. It’s as if both are in a race that neither wants to win.

Tyler Gilbert enters at 0-3 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. He is not a regular part of the rotation and has been making about one start every 3-4 weeks. I think that is affecting Gilbert’s ability to find his groove and is a terrible way to manage a second-year pitcher. 

In his rookie year, Gilbert made six starts and finished with a 3.15 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. But he looks uncomfortable on the hill and has been getting roughed up on the regular. On a positive note, his last outing was perhaps the best of the year.

While he lasted only 3 ⅔ innings, he allowed just one run against a dangerous Giants lineup. But, in the game before that, he surrendered six earned runs against the Reds before getting yanked in the second inning. Oh, and the current Rockies lineup has a ridiculous .519 batting average and 1.296 OPS against Gilbert. About the only thing going for Gilbert is his home ERA of 2.70 in one start. 

While this all suggests the Rockies will run away with this game, I wouldn’t run to the sportsbook so fast. German Marquez has been pretty awful in his own right this season with a 5.90 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. He’s gotten blown up by some of the worst teams in the league, including the Nationals twice. 

Considering how bad both of these guys have the potential to be, I’m surprised to see the total as low as it is here. Especially in the warm air of hitter-friendly Chase Field. 

Pick: OVER 9 (-105)

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE