Rogerio Bontorin vs. Manel Kape UFC 275 Prediction and Odds (Is Bontorin a Live Underdog)

Aug 10, 2019; Montevideo, Uruguay; Rogerio Bontorin (Red Gloves) reacts to fighting Raulian Paiva
Aug 10, 2019; Montevideo, Uruguay; Rogerio Bontorin (Red Gloves) reacts to fighting Raulian Paiva / Jason Silva-USA TODAY Sports

UFC 275 is live from Kallang, Singapore on Saturday, June 11th with an intriguing Flyweight battle on the main card.

Manel Kape has won his last two fights and will look to make it three in a row against exciting opponent Rogerio Bontorin, who is coming off of a rough stretch, winlss in his last 4 fights after a win was overturned to a no contest.

Who has the edge in this one with Kape building momentum in the weight class, looking to make it three knockouts in a row? Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Rogerio Bontorin vs. Manel Kape Odds, Total


  • Bontorin: +185
  • Kape: -230

Total: 2.5 (Over +115/Under -135)

Rogerio Bontorin vs. Manel Kape Prediction and Pick

Bontorin has been on a bad skid, but I think he may be undervalued against Kape. This is the longest odds he has been during his recent winless streak, but if we go back and see his results, it may be overblown and he may be due for some positive variance in the octagon. He lost to Ray Borg by unanmious decision after being taken down 10 times, lost to Kai Kara-France in the first round after nearly submitting him (KKF is now fighting for the flyweight title), had a win over Matt Schnell overturned and lost a split decision to Brandon Royval.

Kape in the meantime, lost two straight fights by decision, and won a pair over less qualified fighters by first round finish as a -200 favorite or bigger.

I think this is a step up in class for Kape, who has the knockout prowess , but what if Bontorin is able to get this to the mat and sap some of that power? Bontorin averages nearly 3 takedowns per 15 minutes, if this hits the mat he can challenge Kape like he hasn't over his pair of recent victories. It's worth noting that Kape has lost 4 of his 6 fights by submission, Bontorin has 11 subs to his name.

I lean towards the underdog with his ability to get this to the ground and hold up against Kape's power. We have seen Bontorin face higher level of competition and I think he is a live underdog come Saturday.

LEAN: Bontorin ML (+185)

You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!