Royals vs. Rockies Prediction and Odds for Sunday, May 15 (Rockies With Key Matchup Advantage)

Charlie Blackmon of the Rockies
Charlie Blackmon of the Rockies / Matthew Stockman/GettyImages

The 17-16 Colorado Rockies host the 11-20 Kansas City Royals today at 3:10 PM EST after splitting the first two contests of the three-game series.

Kansas City enjoyed its finest offensive performance of the season in the first game, scoring 14 runs. The Royals quickly fell back down to earth in a 10-4 loss yesterday and will send former first-round pick Daniel Lynch to the mound in this one. Lynch has a 4.01 ERA and has shown flashes but has struggled with consistency.

Austin Gomber has thrown a quality start in three of his last four outings and is tasked with nabbing the Rockies back-to-back victories. He sports a 4.36 ERA but a 3.85 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), implying he's due for some positive regression.

Can Colorado stay hot at home or will the Royals earn a rare series win on the road?

Let's take a peak at the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help us pick a winner in this Royals vs Rockies matchup:

Royals vs Rockies Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Royals +1.5 (-150)
  • Rockies -1.5 (+125)


  • Royals: +128
  • Rockies: -138


  • 10.5 (Over -120/Under +100)

Royals vs Rockies Prediction and Pick

At home, Daniel Lynch has a 2.70 ERA. On the road, his ERA balloons to 4.91. He'll make his first career start at Coors Field today against a Rockies lineup that leads the league in OPS against left-handed pitchers, so he could be in for a long afternoon.

Lynch ranks in the 91st percentile in chase rate but just the 25th in average exit velocity and 15th in hard hit percentage. Colorado has a patient lineup, and Coors Field is not where you want to pitch if you give up a lot of hard contact. And if Lynch gets off to a rocky (pun intended) start, the Royals' disastrous bullpen won't be able to quench the fire.

Kansas City ranks 24th in OPS against lefty's and I don't expect an offensive onslaught against Austin Gomber. He has a 3.38 ERA over his last four starts and all four opponents have a better lineup than the Royals do.

Colorado is 12-5 over their last 17 home matchups and I expect them to improve on that number today. Give me the Rockies to cover the run line for the second consecutive day and prove to the Royals that the first game of the series was merely a fluke.

Pick: Rockies -1.5 (+125)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.