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RSM Classic Picks (All Signs Point Toward Tom Hoge)

By Iain MacMillan

Jul 24, 2022; Blaine, Minnesota, USA; Tom Hoge drives on the second hole during the final round of
Jul 24, 2022; Blaine, Minnesota, USA; Tom Hoge drives on the second hole during the final round of / Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports
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Shoutout Tony Finau!

The 33-year old got his third win in his last seven starts, and more importantly, we cashed in on him being my favorite outright bet to win at +1600. That's my second outright winner of the season after cashing in on Max Homa at the Fortinet Championship.

Now, we turn our attention to the RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Resort in Georgia.

Let's dive into the betting odds and then I'll give you my top three bets.

Odds to Win the RSM Classic

Odds below are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

  • Tony Finau +800
  • Brian Harman +2200
  • Seamus Power +2200
  • Jason Day +2200
  • Davis Riley +2600
  • Tom Hoge +2600
  • Joel Dahmen +2900
  • Taylor Montgomery +2900
  • Keith Mitchell +2900
  • Matthew NeSmith +3300

RSM Classic Best Bets

Tom Hoge +2600

Last week's Houston Open focused on long approach shots, but the opposite is true at the RSM Classic this week. We want golfers who are sharp with approach shots ranging from 100-150 yards. Tom Hoge falls into that category, as he ranks third in approaches from 100-125 yards and 27th in approaches from 125-150 yards.

Hoge ranks 12th overall on Tour so far this season in total strokes gained, but yet we can grab him at a favorable price of +2600 to get the job done this week. He's finished T13 or better in four of his five starts this season and he finished in 4th at this event last year.

Everything is lining up for Hoge this week.

Kevin Kisner Top 10 +500

In a weak field, it's kind of insane that we can bet on Kevin Kisner to finish in the top 10 at +500. He has had fantastic success at this event in the past, with five top 10 finishes in 11 starts here.

The former Georgia Bulldog feel at home at Sea Island Golf Club, and his driving accuracy off the tee will keep him safe from the hazards that ruin so many rounds on this track. He's only competed once this year, a T72 finish at the CJ Cup, so I'm going to stay somewhat conservative with him and just wager on him to record another top 10 finish at one of the tracks he's historically had the most success at.

Justin Lower Top 20 +490

We bet on Justin Lower to finish in the top 20 last week to no avail, he missed the cut after posted a 2-over par score. But, at this price this week, I think he's worth another shot. He already has three top 20 finishes on the season, and he may be able to take advantage of a weaker field.

He ranks 25th in total strokes gained this season, and his lack of distance off the tee shouldn't hurt him at Sea Island. At +490, I think he's worth a bet to compete this week.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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