Best Same Game Parlay Picks for Phillies vs. Astros in World Series Game 1 (Fade Nola In Series Opener)

Oct 19, 2022; San Diego, California, USA; Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola (27)
Oct 19, 2022; San Diego, California, USA; Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola (27) / Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Game 1 of the World Series is here!

The Houston Astros are in their fourth World Series in six seasons, looking for a second trophy to show for their AL dominance. Meanwhile, the Phillies came out of nowhere and became the darlings of the National League this season, winning the pennant despite firing their manager earlier this season after starting the season 22-29.

It’s only right we kick off the World Series with a same game parlay. This is a quick and easy three-leg parlay with +561 odds. A $25 dollar bet on this would profit $140.36. Let’s get right to the picks!

Phillies vs Astros Parlay Picks

Aaron Nola UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts

In three starts this postseason, Nola has struck out six batters in each game. Yes, he’s cleared this line, but by the skin of his teeth. The Astros were the second hardest team to strikeout this season, only striking out 19.6% of the time. Nola has barely cleared this line against strikeout-prone teams. Now that he’s going against one of the best teams in this category, I’ll fade him. 

Jeremy Peña 2+ Total Bases

Peña is my World Series MVP pick, so let’s get his series started off right. He’s had at least two hits in three of the Astros’ seven games this postseason. Thanks to a home run against the Mariners, he’s cleared this prop bet number in four games this playoffs. Peña has been able to make contact and get on base regularly, and with the home crowd behind him and an Aaron Nola that I expect to struggle a little bit on the mound, this is a great chance to back him.

Yes Run First Inning 

While this pitching matchup is slated as a great one, I see some cracks in both pitchers. Verlander is 0-6 in his World Series career, with a 5.68 ERA. Aaron Nola has given up 7 runs across 17.1 innings in this postseason. With the World Series nerves, a pitcher coming off a bad outing and another with a terrible track record, I wouldn’t be shocked to see a run out of the gates. 

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.