NCAAF Odds

San Diego State vs. San Jose State Prediction, Odds and Spread for College Football Week 7

Matt De Saro
Greg Bell and the San Diego State Aztecs are a good bet to cover the spread this week against MWC rivals San Jose State Spartans.
Greg Bell and the San Diego State Aztecs are a good bet to cover the spread this week against MWC rivals San Jose State Spartans. / Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
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The No. 24 San Diego Aztecs will look to keep their undefeated season going in a Friday night showdown against Mountain West Conference rivals San Jose State Spartans. The Spartans will be trying to claw above .500 after starting the season 3-3. 

According to opening odds from WynnBET, the Aztecs are nine-point favorites heading into this game at CEFCU Stadium. 

Let’s explore the best bets for this MWC matchup and make our picks for this week 6 primetime game. 

San Diego State vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

San Diego State: -9.0 (-110)

San Jose Stae: +9.0 (-110)

Moneyline:

San Diego State: -310

San Jose State: +255

Total: 41.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

San Diego State vs. San Jose State Betting Trends

  • San Diego State is 4-1 against the spread this season with three of those wins as favorites of eight or more. 
  • San Diego State has one win against the spread in five tries. 
  • The total of 41.5 is nearly 14 points less than the combined average points per game (56.1) of these two teams. 

San Diego State vs. San Jose State Prediction and Pick

San Diego State enters this game ranked in the top-25 after starting the year 5-0. Two of those five wins came off Pac-12 teams which are generally considered harder competition than MWC opponents. This bodes well for the Aztecs’ chances on the road Friday night against the Spartans. This game looks to play out similarly to last week’s crushing win over New Mexico, 31-7. 

The Aztecs continue their tradition of relying on their bruising rushing attack and that should not change in this game. As of Week 5, SDSU is ranked 15th in the nation in terms of total rushing yards per game at 231.5. That is more than higher-ranked teams like Ohio State and Michigan State.

On the flip side, however, the Aztecs ranked nearly dead last in average passing yards with 118.8 per game. Good enough for 126th place. Hell, even San Jose State is in the top-100 with 189.8 passing YPG. The Spartans are not the worst team at stopping the run, ranked 63rd with 147.8 yards given up per game, but it just won’t be enough to stop Greg Bell and the rest of the Aztec’s ground attack. 

San Diego State does have big-time issues under center, but they have proven so far that they can beat better teams than San Jose State without much of a passing attack. Speaking of which, it should be noted that the Spartans starting QB Nick Starkel is on the shelf after suffering an injury against Western Michigan. This might be a blessing in disguise as Starkel’s backup, Nick Nash, has thrown for five touchdowns and one interception in his two games as a starter. 

Despite this, I think the writing is on the wall for this game to fall in the Aztecs’ favor as near double-digit favorites. 

Best Bet: San Diego State Aztecs -9 (-110)


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