Selling 3 Playoff Contenders as Super Bowl Bets

The NFL is crowded at the top this season. There seems to be no consensus top team this season, as evident in the Super Bowl odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Currently, six teams are below +1000 odds to win the Super Bowl, but are some being overvalued through 13 weeks of action? Here are three I'm selling as Super Bowl bets right now.

New England Patriots (+700)

The ship to bet the Patriots to win it all has sailed, and frankly, you might be better off.

While the Patriots win on Monday night was as impressive as any this season, the game was very unique and likely not predictive of anything related to playoff success.

It's worth noting that the market has shifted considerably on New England considering they now are the No. 1 seed in the AFC and control their own destiny to having home field throughout the postseason.

I'm still not sold on the Pats mainly because of outlier red zone defense and the offensive play calling. The Patriots are second in red zone defense, allowing a touchdown on less than 46% of opponents drives and are a middling offense that is reliant on the run game.

I'm not sure I can trust Mac Jones to lead a Super Bowl run despite an impressive regular season, especially at this number.

Los Angeles Rams (+1200)

The Rams are still looked at favorably in the Futures market, but are we sure that they are a contender?

Despite beating up on the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars last week, the Rams offense is still worse for ware, already down Robert Woods at wide receiver and have both Matthew Stafford and Darrell Henderson dealing with injuries.

Can we count on Stafford to find his early season injuries? We will find out quickly as the team travels to Arizona to face the No. 1 seed Cardinals in a game that could decide the NFC West.

Baltimore Ravens (+1500)

The Ravens have been dealing with injuries all season long on both sides of the ball, but were dealt a massive blow on Sunday, losing cornerback Marlon Humphrey for the season to a torn pectoral muscle.

Baltimore heads into a difficult stretch of their schedule that may put their playoff status in jeopardy given the injuries on the roster. The team faces the Browns on the road, Packers, at Bengals, Rams and Steelers to finish the year.

Lamar Jackson has been incredible late in games this season, but may be creating a false narrative around the team. Comeback wins against the Chiefs, Colts and Vikings make the Ravens look stronger than they are; the team is 20th in defensive EPA/Play and now will be without their best player in the secondary.