Setting Odds for Deshaun Watson's Next Team
Deshaun Watson isn't playing another down for the Houston Texans. That much is obvious.
He has been inactive for every game this year amidst his ongoing trade demand and disturbing allegations of sexual assault levied by multiple masseuses, and that's not expected to change. What is expected to change is Watson's employer.
NFL insider Ian Rapoport said the expectation is Watson will be traded before the Nov. 2 trade deadline following a report earlier this week that he would be traded to the Dolphins.
So, where does he end up? WynnBET doesn't have odds for where Watson get's traded to, so we thought it would be fun to create our own. Here are the odds of where he'll be traded.
Deshaun Watson Trade Odds
Dolphins -110
The Dolphins have been the favorites to land Watson for a long time, not only because they have the assets to make it happen, but also because it's reportedly Watson's preferred landing spot.
The Dolphins have four first-round picks over the next two seasons and several players they could trade, including Pro Bowl cornerback Xavien Howard. Tua Tagovailoa is clearly not their long-term quarterback, and while his value isn't as high as when he was drafted, the Texans could try him out for a few years and then move on. Or he could turn out to be better than he has been so far and this is a steal of a deal for the Texans.
Either way, with so many picks and players they'd be willing to trade, they are the favorites for a reason.
Broncos +175
The Broncos want to trade for Watson, but they don't have nearly as many assets to move as their competition. With only two first round picks over the next two years, they'd have to mortgage farther into their future to compete with the Dolphins and Eagles. They could trade away one of their standout wide receivers, but that just weakens a team that would swing this trade to contend now.
There's a clear desire for the Broncos to trade for either Watson or Aaron Rodgers, but desire doesn't always equate to reality. I'm not backing Denver to pull this off but the odds are set based on buzz, and Denver has plenty of that.
Eagles +200
If I'm betting on this, I love these odds because the Eagles have the only trade assets to challenge Miami.
The Eagles have three first-round picks and two second-round picks in the 2022 NFL Draft, as well as a tradeable quarterback asset in Jalen Hurts. At minimum, three first rounders and Hurts has to entice the Texans. I'd rather him than Tua at least. If the Eagles throw in another starting-caliber player, they could make this deal happen and solidify their quarterback position for the foreseeable future. For the Texans, that might be the highest-upside offer on the board.
Panthers +450
The Panthers have been aggressive on the trade block over the last few years, acquiring Sam Darnold and Stephon Gilmore in the last six months alone and trading away Teddy Bridgewater after signing him to a big deal. It won't be easy, but they are a darkhorse in the Watson trade sweepstakes.
With their first round pick this year along with the Jets second-round pick, which could wind up being the 33rd pick in the draft, the Panthers have some enticing assets to build a trade package around. The problem is they don't have much beyond that. Their team isn't deep and their top players aren't ones they'd want to part with. That makes them long shots to pull this deal off.