It was clear after Week 1 that Cincinnati would not be making their way back to the College Football Playoff, but since that loss to Arkansas, the Bearcats are 4-0 and have found their way to No. 24 in the country. They get to host USF this weekend as the Bulls come to town on Homecoming weekend as massive underdogs.
USF vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread and Total
USF and Cincinnati Betting Trends
- South Florida is 1-4 ATS
- Cincinnati is 2-2-1 ATS
- Cincinnati’s games are 4-1 to the over
- South Florida’s games are 3-1-1 to the over
USF vs. Cincinnati Prediction and Pick
USF does have the one win on the year, but at 1-4 the high point of their season was probably their 31-28 loss to Florida that no longer looks as good with the Gators at 3-2. USF’s strength on offense is their running game which is just outside the top 50 in the country, so still not exactly dominant. The bad news for them is that Cincinnati’s rushing defense is 29th in the country, they allow just over 100 yards a game and 2.39 yards per carry, which is third best in the nation.
Gerry Bohanon is in his first year at USF and so far has just three passing touchdowns and six interceptions. With the rushing game potentially shut down, he will have to try to push the ball downfield through the air and that’s a recipe for disaster against an opportunistic Cincy defense.
Last week the Bearcats started off the game with a pick six, and I can definitely see a similar start to this one. USF lost to a very bad Louisville team 41-3 after that close loss to Florida and then lost 48-28 to East Carolina last week. Cincinnati is much better than those teams even if they aren’t as talented as they were a year ago.
People are still remembering that Florida game, but that was a total aberration.
Pick: Cincinnati -27.5 (-110)
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.