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Spurs vs. Nuggets Prediction and Odds (Denver Covers the Big Number at Home)

By Ben Heisler

The Denver Nuggets have won four of their last five games and are 7-point home favorites vs. the San Antonio Spurs tonight in Denver.
The Denver Nuggets have won four of their last five games and are 7-point home favorites vs. the San Antonio Spurs tonight in Denver. / Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
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Key playoff positioning is on the line in the Western Conference tonight when the Denver Nuggets host the San Antonio Spurs.

Denver got the best of the L.A. Lakers on Sunday afternoon; pulling away 128-118 as L.A. put up a fight for their playoff lives without LeBron James available.

Meanwhile, San Antonio's magic number to be guaranteed a spot in the Play-In Round is at 2; holding onto a two-game lead over the L.A. Lakers for the final spot in the West. The Spurs took care of the Portland Trail Blazers 113-92 in their last game, but will not have Dejounte Murray available tonight.

Here's the latest odds for tonight's Western Conference showdown over at WynnBET Sportsbook.

Spurs vs. Nuggets Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Spurs +7 (-110)
  • Nuggets -7 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Spurs +275
  • Nuggets -350

Total:

  • 234 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Spurs vs. Nuggets Prediction and Pick

No Dejounte Murray for San Antonio is a big deal, and a key reason why the number is where it is.

Denver is just 14-24 ATS at home this season; a stunning number considering the home court advantage in the altitude that they typically hold. As for the Spurs, they're 21-16-0 ATS on the road, and 18-12 ATS as a road dog.

Getting Poeltl back helps, but he's not exactly known for his defensive prowess. Even if he was an above average defender, it doesn't really matter who teams put on Nikola Jokic at the moment because he's simply been unstoppable.

In case you're wondering how good the current MVP-frontrunner has been for Denver, StatMuse put his numbers together over the past seven games and they're astounding. Any time Wilt Chamberlain is passed; let along in the conversation, something is likely going very well.

Look for the Nuggets to win their fifth game in their last six. The Spurs should put up a fight for most of the game, but will run out of gas late. I'm more likely to try and get a better number on Denver live, but I'd still lean on them to cover the number pregame.

LEAN: Nuggets -7 (-110)

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