Steelers vs. Chiefs Prediction, Odds, Against Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 16
By Reed Wallach
The red-hot Kansas City Chiefs return home after one of the games of the year against the Los Angeles Chargers, a potentially AFC West deciding victory. Now, they face the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are trying to stay in the hunt for an AFC North title.
There are a ton of playoff implications in this one at Arrowhead, so let's break down the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook and find a best bet.
Steelers vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread and Total
Spread:
- Steelers: +10.5 (-120)
- Chiefs: -10.5 (+100)
Moneyline
- Steelers: +375
- Chiefs: -475
Total:
- 46.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Chiefs vs. Steelers Betting Trends
- Steelers are 5-3 ATS this season as underdogs, 45-24-3 since Mike Tomlin took over in 2007
- Chiefs have covered in five straight
- Andy Reid is 21-11 SU with extra rest, but just 16-16 ATS
Steelers vs. Chiefs Prediction and Pick
While this line may seem high for a battle of two playoff contenders, it feels right considering how strong the Chiefs have looked on both sides of the ball over the past several weeks, and what kind of teams the Steelers have struggled.
Kansas City has been fantastic on defense over the second half of the season, despite struggling against an elite offense in the Chargers. It's worth noting that Frank Clark, the team's most impactful defensive player, missed that game. Factor in that the Steelers have scored more than 24 points four times this season, it may be a struggle for Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh offense to put points on the board.
On the other side, the Steelers defense has kept them in games, but has struggled against the more talented ones, such as the Chargers (41 points allowed) and the Vikings (36). I'm expecting Mahomes and the Chiefs offense to reach 30-plus while Pitt struggles to keep up. It's worth noting that Travis Kelce went on the COVID-19 list, but he may be in line to return for this matchup.
Chiefs’ TE Travis Kelce is being placed on the Reserve/COVID list, sources tell ESPN. But he is vaccinated so there’s a chance he’s back for Sunday with the new return-to-play protocols.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) December 20, 2021
Keep in mind motivation here, the Chiefs are in the hunt for the No. 1 seed in the conference while the Steelers have two divisional matchups to finish the year, which will determine their playoff fate. You can see a drop in level from Pittsburgh after a hard fought win last week against the Titans.
PICK: Chiefs -10.5