Betsided

Sun vs. Wings Prediction and Odds for Game 3 (Connecticut Shines in Winner-Take-All Matchup)

By Ben Heisler

Courtney Williams and the Connecticut Sun are 5.5-point favorites on the road Wednesday night against the Dallas Wings.
Courtney Williams and the Connecticut Sun are 5.5-point favorites on the road Wednesday night against the Dallas Wings. / Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
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The Dallas Wings stole home court advantage away from the Connecticut Sun on Sunday, shell-shocking their opponents with a 22-7 first quarter advantage en route to an 89-79 victory.

Despite not having star Arike Ogunbowale in the first two games, Dallas is now a home game away from stunning the No. 3 seeded Sun and advancing to the semifinals for a looming date with the defending champion Chicago Sky. Ogunbowale has now been updated to probable for the Wings after being expected to miss the entire first round.

After being outscored 76-47 in the first three quarters, Connecticut made it respectable late with a 32-13 4th quarter. Can it carry some positive momentum from the final period into Game 3 on the road?

Here are the odds for tonight over at WynnBET Sportsbook:

Sun vs. Wings Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Sun -6 (-110)
  • Wings +6 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Sun -230
  • Wings +190

Total:

  • 165.5 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Sun vs. Wings Prediction and Pick

I'll lean on the Sun to win and advance, but Dallas has had their number throughout the season. The Wings are now 3-2-0 both straight up and ATS against Connecticut this season.

However, due to Dallas' propensity to play Connecticut tough all season, I'm going to keep my bet focused on the first half where the Sun have a distinct advantage, particularly on the road.

For whatever reason, the Wings have not had the same type of success at home this year in the first 20 minutes, ranking eighth in overall net rating in the league at home. When they've played on the road, they own the best net rating in the sport.

As for the Sun, they come in with the third-best net rating in first halves of games on the road, ranking third in both offensive and defensive rating.

The Sun were by far and away the best team in the league since the start of the month, and after a massive wake up call on Sunday, expect them to come out strong early on and take it to the Wings.

PICK: Sun -2.5 (-115) - would bet up to -3

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