Suns vs. Mavericks Prediction and Odds for Game 6 (Trend Says Suns Will Close Out Mavs in Dallas)

The Phoenix Suns rode a monster third quarter in Game 5 to a win against the Dallas Mavericks to take a 3-2 series lead. 

This series has been extremely entertaining, and the Luka Doncic vs. Devin Booker dynamic is going to make it even better. 

The Suns struggled in the first two games in Dallas, but they are still slight favorites at WynnBET Sportsbook in Game 6. 

Let’s get into the odds for this game and make a pick: 

Suns vs. Mavericks Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

• Suns -2 (-108)
• Mavericks +2 (-108)

Moneyline:

• Suns: -130
• Mavericks: +110

Total:

• 213.5 (Over -108/Under -108)

Suns vs. Mavericks Prediction and Pick

BetSided’s Reed Wallach found an interesting stat on Wednesday, as home teams in Game 6 of the NBA playoffs have historically struggled against the spread and straight up. 

Since the 2010-11 season, home teams are just 26-49-1 against the spread, and home underdogs like the Mavericks are a dismal 5-23-1 straight up. 

As well as the Mavericks played in Games 3 and 4, it took putrid performances by the Suns offense, turning the ball over 17 times in both games, for the Mavs to come away with wins. 

The Mavericks were unable to bring that momentum back into Game 5, as they returned to getting absolutely blown out by the Suns in Phoenix. 

When the Suns are going on offense, they are one of the harder teams in the league to stop, and the Mavericks’ hot shooting seems to be running on fumes at this point in the playoffs. 

I’ll follow the trend and back the Suns to come away with the win on Thursday. 

Lean: Suns Moneyline (-130)

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record in the NBA this season here.