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Suns vs. Mavericks Prediction and Odds for Game 4 (Expect Phoenix to Bounce Back in Dallas)

By Ben Heisler

Phoenix Suns guard Chris Paul and the rest of the offense will need to step up after their lowest scoring game of the year in Game 3.
Phoenix Suns guard Chris Paul and the rest of the offense will need to step up after their lowest scoring game of the year in Game 3. / Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
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The Dallas Mavericks look to even their series vs. the Phoenix Suns in Game 4 Sunday afternoon on Mother's Day from the American Airlines Center in Dallas.

Every home team has covered in all three games, with the Mavericks defeating the Suns by nine in their last matchup. After allowing an average of 125 points in Games 1 and 2, the Mavs' defense made several adjustments in holding Phoenix to just 94 points in Game 3; their lowest scoring output of the year.

Can Phoenix bounce back? Or did the Mavs find the perfect solution to slowing down the Suns in their building?

Here are today's odds for Game 4 over at WynnBET Sportsbook.

Suns vs. Mavericks Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Suns -2 (-108)
  • Mavericks +2 (-108)

Moneyline:

  • Suns -135
  • Mavericks +112

Total:

  • 215 (OVER -108 | UNDER -108)

Suns vs. Mavericks Prediction and Pick

The Mavericks' defense finally looked like the version that many of us became accustomed to during the regular season; ranking fifth in defensive rating and in the conversation with teams like the Boston Celtics, Golden State Warriors, and their current opponent Phoenix.

While Paul struggled with seven first half turnovers en route to their first loss vs. Dallas in 11 games, there's too much of a sample size in his future Hall of Fame career to think that there won't be adjustments made.

As for Dallas, while Luka Doncic averaged 40 points in the first two games (both losses), he acted as more of a distributor early on, putting more pressure on the Suns to stop everyone, rather than focus their attention on just Doncic in the second half. Jalen Brunson finished with 28 points to lead the way in Game 3.

Via NBA.com, the Suns shot under 45 percent in Game 3, which was the first time during the postseason they shot under 50% as a team. With Dallas back to playing swarming defense, it may be two games in a row where they fail to hit 50-plus percent, but will it be enough to stop the Suns from battling back?

I don't think so, and I'll take the Suns to grab a 3-1 series lead on the road.

LEAN: Suns ML -135

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