Suns vs. Thunder Prediction and Odds (Trust OKC to Cover Double-Digit Spread at Home)

No Chris Paul? Apparently no problem for the Phoenix Suns, as they are heavily favored on the road against the Oklahoma City Thunder coming out of the All-Star break. 

This line is a bit surprising, as Thunder star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is making his return to the lineup on Thursday, but the Suns have been the best team in the NBA all season long. 

OKC has covered the spread at the second highest rate in the NBA, but can it cover again at home?

Here are the odds via WynnBET for Thursday’s matchup: 

Suns vs. Thunder Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

• Suns -10 (-110)
• Thunder +10 (-110)

Moneyline:

• Suns: -575
• Thunder: +425

Total:

• 218 (Over -110/Under -110)

Suns vs. Thunder Prediction and Pick

They may not be a great team in terms of winning, but the Oklahoma City Thunder are elite against the spread at home and overall, which is why they are one of the teams I will be targeting over the second half of the season. 

The Thunder are very limited offensively, ranking dead last in the league in offensive rating, but they should see a boost with Gilgeous-Alexander back in the lineup alongside impressive rookie Josh Giddey. 

That will be key against the Suns’ No. 3 defense, but I think we see a little regression from Phoenix’s offense with Chris Paul out of the lineup. The Suns are also down backup point guard Cameron Payne in this game. 

Phoenix has been favored by 10 points or more on the road just one other time this season, covering against the Detroit Pistons in that game. I am surprised that this line is where it is, as Paul is an extremely valuable player for Phoenix and SGA’s return is a huge boost for the Thunder. 

I’ll back OKC to continue to stay strong ATS at home tonight. 

Lean: Thunder +10 (-110)

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.