Super Bowl Prop Bet History: The Best of the Rest

For as much hype as there is surrounding the actual betting on who wins the Super Bowl, there is arguably more interest in the prop betting market. We have already covered a number of popular angles including the coin toss and national anthem. But, I wanted to take a look at pair of props that are popular with the public and related to the outcome of the game. All odds were provided by WynnBET Sportsbook. 

The team that scores first wins the game

• Rams to score first and win +125
• Bengals to score first and win +300
• Rams to score first and lose +425
• Bengals to score first and lose +250

This is one of the most popular prop bets for wagers that actually have something to do with the outcome of the game. Heading into Super Bowl Sunday, teams that scored first in the Super Bowl have a combined record of 35-18. That is a win rate of over 68%. It is worth noting that over the last five years, the team that scores first is 2-3 straight up. 

Truth be told, neither team is all that good at scoring early and rank in the middle of the pack in terms of 1Q scoring totals. The Bengals have a slight edge with 4.3 points per game to the Rams’ 4.0 PPG. Despite this, the Rams are the third-best team in the NFL at stopping first-quarter scoring with an average of 2.7 PPG. The Bengals are in the bottom of the league in this stat with an average of 4.6 PPG surrendered in the first quarter. 

Longest Field Goal Made

• OVER 47.5 (-110)
• UNDER 47.5 (-120)

While it is impossible to predict if the situation for a kick over 47.5 yards will come up, I feel confident in predicting the outcome if it does. While kickers don’t get a lot of love when it comes to props or betting, the Super Bowl is a time for everyone to shine. 

Over the last five years of Super Bowl play, only twice has the longest field goal gone OVER 50 yards. The total for this game of 47.5 would have gone UNDER in three of the last five Super Bowls.

Bengals’ rookie Kicker Evan McPherson has put together an all-time great postseason. The fifth-round pick out of Florida has yet to miss a field goal in 12 kicks during the playoffs. He is also 3-0 when kicking from behind field goals of 50 yards or more since the end of the regular season. I believe “locked-in” would be an apt description for his current state of play.

Meanwhile, The Rams’ Matt Gay is 7-for-9 during the playoffs and 0-1 from behind the 50. I think it’s a safe bet that if there is a long field goal that one of these guys will be able to knock it through.