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TCU vs. Kansas Prediction and Odds for Big 12 Semifinals (Bet Horned Frogs to Cover)

By Reed Wallach

Mar 10, 2022; Kansas City, MO, USA; Texas Christian Horned Frogs center Eddie Lampkin Jr. (4) reacts
Mar 10, 2022; Kansas City, MO, USA; Texas Christian Horned Frogs center Eddie Lampkin Jr. (4) reacts / Amy Kontras-USA TODAY Sports
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TCU's impressive season continued on Thursday in a double digit comeback against Texas in the Big 12 quarterfinals.

Now, the Horned Frogs turn their attention to the Big 12 regular season champions Kansas in the conference tournament semifinals. After covering in the prior two meetings, can TCU make it three straight on a neutral floor?

Here are the odds for this Big 12 semifinal from WynnBET Sportsbook:

TCU vs. Kansas Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • TCU: +8.5 (-110)
  • Kansas: +8.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • TCU: +310
  • Kansas: -400

Total: 139 (Over -110/Under -110)

TCU vs. Kansas Prediction and Pick

Maybe a team matches up well with another? That's TCU, who beat Kansas last week and then took them down to the wire at Allen Fieldhouse, covering a double digit spread, in a rescheduled two games in a week spot.

The Horned Frogs are playing inspired basketball under Jamie Dixon right now, firmly in the Tournament field but also rallied from down double digits to knockoff the Longhorns in Kansas City on Thursday afternoon.

Kansas looked the part of a Final Four contender against West Virginia, but TCU is a far more imposing defense and can hang down low against the Jayhawks. The Horned Frogs sport the best offensive and defensive rebounding rate in Big 12 play, which should help against a Kansas rotation that typically trots one big out there.

On the other side, the Horned Frogs have turnover issues, worst in league play in that metric, but Kansas turns opponents over at the lowest rate in the conference, mitigated that issue. I'm curious how Bill Self manages this game considering he has a short rotation and TCU is always going to bring the physicality aspect.

KU big man David McCormack has been battling nagging injuries (he played 10 minutes in Thursday's win over WVU) so we'll see how he handles the likes of Eddie Lampkin (top 10 in the country in OREB%) on the glass, but I think the Horned Frogs can cover this big number.

PICK: TCU +8 (-110)

All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 93-85-3 for +4.38 units.

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