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TCU vs. Oklahoma Prediction and Odds (Keep Betting Undervalued Horned Frogs)

By Reed Wallach

TCU Horned Frogs center Eddie Lampkin.
TCU Horned Frogs center Eddie Lampkin. / Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
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TCU continued to build their at-large case for the NCAA Tournament with a win over LSU at home this past Saturday in the SEC/Big 12 Challenge.

Now they must avoid a letdown as they go on the road to face a struggling Oklahoma team that they beat earlier this month.

OU couldn't get going against No. 1 Auburn this past Saturday, a tall ask, but will look to get some revenge on their Big 12 foe in front of the home crowd in Norman.

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.

TCU vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • TCU: -6 (-110)
  • Oklahoma: +6 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • TCU: +200
  • Oklahoma: -255

Total: 127.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

TCU vs. Oklahoma Prediction and Pick

The first meeting between these two was a true rock fight, a 59-58 win for the Horned Frogs in overtime. Both defenses should have their way again in this one, but is TCU being undervalued yet again?

Jaime Dixon's team has been beating the market left and right of late, covering in eight of their last 10 games and have cashed in all five true road games this season.

While their offense leaves a ton to be desired, worst in Big 12 play by KenPom's standards, their defense is stellar, leading the conference in defensive rebounding rate.

These are the bottom two teams in protecting the ball, but I question if Oklahoma can win with margin given their offensive woes as well. The team is shooting below 30% from beyond the arc in conference play and TCU's methodical pace should limit the amount of possessions. Not to mention, Oklahoma has the 14th worst turnover percentage in the country.

Since Jan. 1, TCU has been outperforming Oklahoma by Barttorvik.com's database, and I believe that we are set up for another tight game. This total is very low and OU is 5-8 as a favorite this season. It may be tough to win with margin given those factors.

LEAN: TCU +6

All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 35-37-3 for -4.58 units.

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