Tennessee Titans 2022 NFL Season Betting Preview (Success Falls on the Shoulders of Derrick Henry)

The Tennessee Titans grabbed the No. 1 seed in the AFC last season, but were one-and-done in the playoffs after losing to the Cincinnati Bengals in the Divisional Round.

Can they take the next step in 2022?

The team got rid of star WR AJ Brown in the offseason, but attempted to replace him by drafting Trey Burkes from Arkansas with the 18th overall pick. Will it be enough to get them over the hump?

Let's take a look at what the oddsmakers think, as well as my prediction for the Titans upcoming season.

Don't forget to check out the full list of team previews here. We'll be releasing one each day until all 32 NFL teams are covered.

Tennessee Titans Offseason Moves and Signings

• Drafted WR Trey Burks from Arkansas with the 18th overall pick.
• Traded AJ Brown to Eagles for 1st Round and 3rd Round picks.
• Drafted QB Malik Willis from Liberty with 86th overall pick.
• Traded a 6th Round pick to Rams for WR Robert Woods.
• Signed free agent TE Austin Hooper.

Tennessee Titans 2022 Schedule

The Titans open their season with an interconference matchup with the New York Giants.

They play in four different prime time games:

• Week 2 at Buffalo Bills (Monday Night Football)
• Week 9 at Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday Night Football)
• Week 11 at Green Bay Packers (Thursday Night Football)
• Week 17 vs. Dallas Cowboys (Thursday Night Football)

Their BYE Week will take place in Week 6.

Tennessee Titans 2022 Win Total Prediction

• OVER 9 Wins (-105)
• UNDER 9 Wins (-115)

Damn, their win total is only set at nine?! This is a team that finished 12-5 last season. three wins better than their 2022 projected total.

So, why the decrease in faith from the oddsmakers?

First of all, let's talk Derrick Henry. The man who dominated the running back position for the past few years. The Titans offense revolves around him, as they second in rush play percentage last season at 48.78%. He only played in eight games due to an injury, and I'm concerned that's a bad sign for the 28-year old.

He led the league in carries in the two seasons prior, we know how much punishment bell cow running backs take in the league. Even though his total yardage was good last season (on pace for almost 2,000 yards), his yards per carry was only 4.3. That's 1.1 fewer yards per carry than his previous season.

If he can't handle a big load of carries in 2022, or if he gets hurt again, the Titans are screwed. Their receiving core relies on a rookie, and Ryan Tannehill has shown he can't lead a team on his own.

On top of this, the Titans defense ranked 17th in opponent yards per play last year, and didn't do much in the offseason to improve. I'll take the UNDER on their 2022 win total.

Pick: UNDER 9 Wins (-115)

Tennessee Titans 2022 Odds to Win AFC South, AFC, and Super Bowl

• To Make the Playoffs: +100
• Odds to Win AFC South: +170
• Odds to Win AFC: +2000
• Odds to Win Super Bowl 57: +4000

A year removed from having the No. 1 seed in the AFC, the Titans are underdogs to make a playoff appearance.

Titans fans should be concerned this season, as the AFC is even stronger than it was a year ago.

Given that I'm taking the UNDER on their win total of 9.0, I won't be betting on any of the available options above. But, if you disagree with me, I'd recommend that you take them to win the division at +170 instead of them to make the playoffs at +100.

A path to an AFC wild card spot is going to be difficult this year. You have to think that at least one will be taken up by an AFC West team, if not more. Then you have the Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, and Pittsburgh Steelers whoa re all viable playoffs teams in the North. Also, the AFC East is as competitive as it has been in recent years.

Realistically, the Titans just need to outlast the Indianapolis Colts for them to win their division. The Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans shouldn't pose much of a threat this season.

If you're going to back Mike Vrabel and company, just bet on them to win the AFC South at the much better price of +170.

Follow along with BetSided's picks on Betstamp all season long