Tennessee Titans Have Easiest Path Win Top Seed in AFC
By Reed Wallach
Following a surprising victory over the Los Angeles Rams, the Tennessee Titans completed a gauntlet of a schedule; beating the Bills, Chiefs, division rival Colts on the road, and Rams in successive weeks.
Even without Derrick Henry, the team is in great shape to wrap up the AFC South early, three games up on the Colts, and possibly the No. 1 seed in the AFC!
Tennessee is 7-2 behind an emerging defense that is sixth in EPA/Play during the aforementioned four straight wins.
If the Titans are keeping this pace on defense, the loss of Henry will be mitigated and the Titans can transform themselves on the fly. Many, including myself, wrote off the Titans after the loss of Henry, but they are now in prime position to grab the top seed in the AFC.
Titans Have Easiest Schedule in NFL
Tennessee pulling four straight upsets was impressive enough, but now as we project ahead, the team's schedule becomes significantly easier. The Titans are set to play the Jaguars, Dolphins, and the lowly Texans two more times this season.
So, the Titans have a soft schedule to build their record up and push closer to 13 wins, enough to outlast the likes of the Ravens and Bills.
Tough Schedules for Ravens, Bills
As I mentioned above, the Titans schedule is easier than any team in the league, but their competition have some of the hardest!
We'll start with the AFC North, where the Ravens are 6-2 and in the lead for the division. However, Baltimore has the sixth most difficult schedule left, including games against the Rams, Packers, and five more AFC North matchups, notoriously physical and difficult games.
The Ravens have played heart-stopping wins this season, coming from behind to beat the Chiefs, Colts, and Vikings, so they can be due for some negative regression in close games, especially as the schedule heats up.
The other team worth mentioning is the Bills, who are coming off a shocking 9-6 loss to the Jaguars last Sunday. However it gets worse for the club, who are 5-3 on the year but facing an uphill battle. Yes, they are in the mix for the top seed, but are giving up a game to the Titans after Tennessee's thrilling win over them a few weeks back.
Further, the Bills still have to play the entire NFC South and the Patriots twice, so their schedule is only getting harder. Lastly, the team beat the Dolphins twice, so some of those cupcake games are gone for Buffalo, who are already two games back on Tennessee due to the tiebreaker.
With all that being said, the Titans are an intriguing bet to have home field advantage in the AFC despite losing their dominant running back. Tannehil and co. are +650 to win the conference, while they are +1200 to win the Super Bowl at WynnBET Sportsbook.