Tennessee vs. Alabama Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 8

The Alabama Crimson Tide head back home after a surprisingly tough two-game road trip that saw them drop their first game of the year. That loss came at the hands, or foot as it were, of Texas A&M on a late field goal 41-38. They bounced right back and blew out  Mississippi State and appear to back on track to make a run at the College Football Playoff.

Tennessee, meanwhile, suffered a brutal loss to Ole Miss 31-26 at home to fall to 4-3 on the year and third in the SEC East. The Volunteers have not beaten Alabama since 2006 and looked dejected after their latest loss. This is a very tough spot for the Volunteers to even cover a spread inching towards 30 points. 

Let’s check the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook and see if we can make sense of this matchup and pick a winner. 

Tennessee vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, and Total

Spread:

• Tennessee: +27.0 (-110)

• Alabama: -27.0 (-110)

Moneyline:

• Tennessee: +1400

• Alabama: -4000

Total:

• 67.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Tennessee vs. Alabama Betting Trends

• The OVER is 4-2 in Tennessee’s last six games. 
• Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Alabama. 
• Tennessee is on an 8 game SU losing streak at Alabama. 
• Alabama has a 19-1 SU record against Tennessee in their last 20 meetings.
• Alabama is on a 20-game home winning streak.
• The OVER is 4-2 in Alabama’s last six games against East Division teams. 

Tennessee vs. Alabama Prediction and Pick

Despite its loss two weeks ago, Alabama has been locked in this season both from a SU and ATS standpoint. The Crimson Tide are 4-3 ATS on the year which is not stunning, but Bama regularly plays games as massive favorites so this is forgivable to me.

The Crimson Tide have played two games this year so far as favorites of 20 or more, one against Mercer and one against Southern Mississippi. They covered the latter with a spread of -45.0 but ‘only’ beat Mercer by 34 with a 54.0 point spread. 

On the flip side, Tennessee has failed to cover its one game as double digital underdogs, losing by 24 to Florida. The team was listed as underdogs in three other games this year and covered two. The Volunteers lost by five to Mississippi with a 1.0 point spread and by seven to Pittsburgh with a spread of 3.5.  

This game feels like the one where everything falls apart for the Volunteers after last week’s poor showing against Ole Miss. After watching the Crimson Tide lose, and then bounce back in a big way, it is hard to see any way that Tennesee gets much going in this game. While I usually try to shy away from spreads in the 20s, Bama gets the nod this week as Tennessee loses its second in a row and fails to keep things close. 

Prediction: Alabama Crimson Tide -27.0 (-110)