Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 13

Two teams heading in opposite directions meet in Nashville on Saturday.

Vanderbilt is one win away from its first bowl game since 2016 and will look to shock a reeling Tennessee team that is coming off their worst loss of the season to South Carolina, 63-38, and loss former Heisman Trophy quarterback Hendon Hooker for the year.

Vandy is still a double-digit underdog in this one, but is fresh off two upsets against Kentucky and Florida as dogs of more than two touchdowns. Can the Commodores make it three in a row now that the Vols are out of the College Football Playoff discussion?

Here are the odds for this SEC regular season finale:

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread and Total

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Betting Trends

• Tennessee is 8-3 against the spread (ATS) this season
• Vanderbilt is 4-5 ATS as an underdog this season, but has covered in two of three
• Vanderbilt has gone OVER in four of five home games this season

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Prediction and Pick

Tennessee opened as 17-point favorites in this one, but the number plummeted as many expected the bad Hooker news, but I'm not sure the drop off is enough. While Joe Milton was a highly touted prospect, he has proven with pit stops in Ann Arbor with Michigan and now Knoxville with Tenneesee that he is inaccurate.

The Vols have little to play for in this one and the defense has continued to be gashed on chunk plays. While the Vandy offense is a far cry from even average SEC standards, the team plays at a near bototm 30 pace in terms of plays per minute and have looked more compotent of late.

Meanwhile, the Vandy rush defense is far better than the pass defense. The secondary has the fourth worse pass success rate mark in the country, but we have covered that Milton, who completed 51% of his passes through a handful of games as the Vols starter last year, can't beat you through the air (he can throw the ball as far as anyone but can't find the receiver). If the Vols try to keep this on the ground, the Vandy defense is 63rd in success rate, middle of the pack nationally.

This number is dropping for good reason, but I'm not sure it has dropped enough given the questions. While the Vols won in blowout fashion last time they had lost, beating Missouri 66-24 at home, the team is down their best player and on the road against a rival that wants to go bowling. I'll take the points.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.