Texans vs. Bears Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 3

Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (1) dives into the endzone for touchdown against the Green
Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (1) dives into the endzone for touchdown against the Green / Dan Powers/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin /
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The Houston Texans and Chicago Bears will face-off in Week 3 of the NFL season.

Many people would have expected both teams to be sitting at 0-2 when they met Sunday, but low and behold, the Texans are 0-1-1 and the Bears are 1-1. Maybe those records aren't exactly shining, but they aren't terrible considering most people expected these two clubs to be the worst in the NFL in 2022.

So who's going to win the toilet bowl game of Week 3?

Let's dive into the odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, and then I'll give my best bet.

Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears Odds, Spread, and Total

Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears Betting Trends

  • Texans are 4-1 SU and ATS in last five games vs. Bears.
  • The UNDER is 7-1 in the Texans' last eight road games.
  • Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in September.
  • Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against NFC North opponents.
  • The UNDER is 4-1 in the Bears' last five home games.
  • The UNDER is 9-2 in the Bears last 11 games vs. AFC opponents.
  • Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as favorites.

Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears Prediction and Pick

My general rule when it comes to betting on the NFL, is that when two terrible teams play against each other, it's best just to take the side that's getting the points. I believe in that rule even more so in this case.

I have absolutely no interest in backing this Bears offense as betting favorites. I will not be laying points on them at any point this season, considering I don't have any faith that they can move the ball, let alone score and win with margin.

In fact, both teams are averaging just 14.5 points per game through the first two weeks. I wouldn't trust either of them to win with margin, considering how low-scoring each offense is.

Both defenses are fairly equal at this point as well. They're both allowing an average of 5.6 yards per play, so this isn't exactly the Chicago defense that we've come to know.

When two bad teams play, just take the one getting the points and hope it at least stays close. That's the rule I'm following here.


You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.