Texans vs. Dolphins Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 9

The Houston Texans and Miami Dolphins face off at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens this weekend. Both teams are having pitiful seasons with just one win each in the last eight games. 

The Texans come off a 38-22 loss to the Rams, and while they somehow covered the spread, it was the seventh game in a row that the Texans have lost outright after beating the Jaguars in Week 1. 

Not to be outdone, the Dolphins are also on an 0-6 losing streak after a Week 1 victory. On top of that, they have failed to cover a single spread over the last five weeks with a push saving them from a “perfect” 0-5 record. 

While it is clear these two teams are terrible, they are equally as bad and therefore we might have a competitive game from these teams for a change.

Here are the odds for this Week 8 matchup between these two basement dwellers, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Texans vs. Dolphins Spread, and Total Odds

Spread:

• Texans: +7.0 (-110)
• Dolphins: -7.0 (-110)

Moneyline:

• Texans: +270
• Dolphins: -330

Total:

• 46.0 (Over -110/Under -110)

Texans vs. Dolphins Betting Trends

• The Texans are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
• The UNDER is 4-2 in the Texan’s last six games. 
• The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Miami.  
• The Dolphins are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games. 
• The OVER is 4-2 in the Dolphins’ last six games. 
• The UNDER is 5-1 in the Dolphins’ last six games against the AFC South. 
• The UNDER is 4-2 in the Dolphins’ last six games against the AFC. 

Texans vs. Dolphins Prediction and Pick

The problem with betting these two teams is that they are so infrequent with their ATS wins that it can be frustrating. Take for example the Texans' loss to the Rams last weekend 38-22; a game that they covered. But, the Texans were down 38-0 at the beginning of the third quarter. So, Houston just decided to be a good team for 15 minutes at the end of this game, scored 22 unanswered points, and managed a backdoor cover. 

The Dolphins have been better at keeping games close but they too have failed to post a solid ATS record at just 2-5-1.  And, while it’s not much, I do think the Dolphins continued to play hard even without any real positive results. Four of their losses this year have come by three points or less, meaning this team could very easily be 5-3.

Meanwhile, the Texans are just going through the motions and trying to not get blown out each week. I am not sure what happened to the Rams in the fourth quarter of that game but I’m going to chalk that up as a fluke and not assume this Texans team is good enough to score 22 unanswered points twice in a year. The Texans have lost all of their games by double digits aside from one and, even as bad as the Dolphins are, Week 9 might be more of the same. 

Pick: Dolphins -7