Texas State vs. Troy Prediction and Odds (How to Bet Sun Belt Season Finale)

March madness is right around the corner and two teams that will be fighting for a bid to join the field of 68 meet on Friday night in their regular season finale ahead of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament.

Texas State has wrapped up the No. 1 seed and will play out the year against Troy, who has clinched a bye in the first round despite not having a seed solidified yet. How should that factor into the handicap? Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Texas State vs. Troy Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

• Texas State: -1.5 (-110)
• Troy: +1.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

• Texas State: -125
• Troy: +105

Total: 127 (Over -110/Under -110)

Texas State vs. Troy Prediction and Pick

These two met in each others conference opener, a 15-point Troy victory. Now, Texas State looks to get some revenge on their conference foe, but have nothing to play for. There's a push and pull aspect to this game when trying to weigh the different factors.

Troy does have the worst ball protection in the conference while Texas State forces them at the highest rate, but the Trojans have the edge on the glass against the undersized Bobcats. Not to mention, Troy has been fantastic this season at funneling opponents off the three-point line, a key cog to the Texas State offense, who has the best three-point percentage in conference play. Troy allows the second fewest three-point shots in league play and defend it at top four rat.

I wonder how far Terrence Johnson goes to get a win on Friday night with the Sun Belt Tournament right around the corner and nothing to play for. Even so, Troy has been a strong underdog bet as an underdog all season, winning in 11 of 17 matchups. Further, the team is 10-2 outright at home.

This is setting up for a small underdog bet on the Trojans.

LEAN: Troy ML (+105)

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