Two teams still contending for a Big 12 championship appearance meet in Stillwater, Oklahoma on Saturday afternoon.
Texas has looked dangerous with Quinn Ewers under center, and now they take their talents on the road to face last year's Big 12 championship runner-up in Oklahoma State coming off their first loss last week to TCU.
There has been a ton of line movement on this game, setting up an intriguing matchup in what could be an elimination game for the loser for the conference championship game.
Texas vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread and Total
Texas vs. Oklahoma State Betting Trends
- Texas is 5-2 against the spread (ATS) this season
- Oklahoma State is 4-2 ATS this season, covering both times as underdogs
- Oklahoma State has gone OVER in five of six games
- Texas has gone UNDER in five of seven games
Texas vs. Oklahoma State Prediction and Pick
The betting market has moved with one way traffic towards Texas, who are sitting as 6.5-point road favorites against Oklahoma State. While this may be speculative, there were reports ahead of the TCU game that Cowboys quarterback Spencer Sanders was dealing with a shoulder injury, which led to TCU being bet. Something similar could be developing ahead of this week's game.
With that being said, this is far too much credit for the Longhorns. We saw the massive drop off from Oklahoma quarterback Dillon Gabriel to Davis Beville last week when the Sooners hung 50+ on Kansas. Texas' 49-0 win looks more like an outlier than a trend when you couple that with their near loss as 17-point home favorites to Iowa State last week.
Oklahoma State still boasts a strong defensive line that is fifth in the country in tackles for loss and 48th in success rate.
Ewers' injury has made Texas a tough team to peg. The Longhorns went toe-to-toe with Alabama even with the prized transfer being injured midgame, but also lost at Texas Tech with Hudson Card under center. As I alluded to earlier, in two games back, Ewers carved up Oklahoma and struggled against Iowa State, which is more indicative of the true level of Texas?
Texas hasn't done enough to justify being this kind of favorite despite some questions around Sanders' shoulder. This was a team that closed +5 at TCU last week and covered, this feels like a swift overreaction for a team that still has a Big 12 title appearance to play for. I'll take the Pokes and the points, this game should be closer to a PK than a touchdown.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.