The Memorial Betting Preview: Odds and Predictions

Patrick Cantlay hoists the trophy for winning the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club
Patrick Cantlay hoists the trophy for winning the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club / Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch via Imagn

The PGA Tour heads to Muirfield Village for the second last designated event of 2023, the Memorial Tournament.

With it being a designated event, all the best golfers on the PGA Tour will be competing this week, including Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, and Rory McIlroy.

Let's take a look at the odds to win and then I'll give you my best bets for the event.

Odds to Win The Memorial Tournament

Best bet to win: Jason Day +3000

Jason Day has a house in Dublin, Ohio, so this week's event can be considered a home game for the Australian. Not only that, but he's numbers seem to fit this course to perfect.

Muirfield Village is one of the toughest courses on the PGA Tour's schedule. Since the renovations were done in 2020, the average score per round is 1.5 strokes over par. So, keep the ball in the short stuff and avoiding bogeys is a huge key for success this week. Well, Day ranks second in both scrambling and bogey avoidance.

Day also ranks 22nd in strokes gained: approach and 13th in strokes gained: putting. After winning two weeks ago, he should be good to go this week.

The Memorial Tournament Top 5 odds

Scottie Scheffler Top 5 (+120)

I followed this strategy for the Charles Schwab Challenge last week and it worked to perfection, so let's do it again this week.

Scheffler has been as good as ever from tee-to-green, but his putting has been holding him back from the winners circle. Last week, he led the field in strokes gained: tee-to-green, but lost 1.14 strokes to the field with his putting.

That has been the story for him for weeks now, which has resulted in plenty of top 5 finishes but no wins. So, with that being said, Top 5 at +120 is once again a good bet to place for Scheffler.

The Memorial Tournament Top 10 odds

Russell Henley Top 10 +375

I'm going back to the well with Russell Henley Top 10 this week as I still feel sportsbooks are undervaluing him significantly over the past few weeks.

He finished T16 at the Charles Schwab Challenge, just two strokes away from a top 10 finish. This week, the most important thing about Henley is that he's the most accurate driver of the golf ball on Tour. That's going to be huge at a course with thick and penalizing rough like Muirfield Village.

He's also 30th in scrambling and 18th in bogey avoidance. He seems to have fixed a bad putter that plagued him for the first half of the season. He has gained strokes putting in four of his last five starts.

The Memorial Tournament Top 20 odds

Ryan Fox Top 20 +350

Ryan Fox has been nothing but consistent over the past few months. He has finished 27th or better in 10 of his last 11 starts worldwide, including a T23 finish at the PGA Championship, a T26 finish at the Masters, and a T14 finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

He also has no weaknesses, gaining strokes in all four main areas of the game. At a course like Muirfield where you have to be strong everywhere, Fox is a great candidate to finish in the top 20 at +350 odds.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.