This Spurs Over/Under Trend Has Been Money all Season

Betting trends can be an incredibly useful tool when going through a slate of games. How likely is Team A to cover the spread when they have a rest advantage compared to Team B who's coming off a back-to-back? How often does Team C live up to oddsmakers' expectations as a favorite at home compared to being a road underdog?

While never an "end-all-be-all when it comes to research," trends can help be the deciding factor when looking to place a wager.

One in particular on tonight's NBA slate stands out when the San Antonio Spurs host the Oklahoma City Thunder at the AT&T Center. The Spurs are currently 6.5-point favorites (must win by seven points or more to cash), at WynnBET Sportsbook with a current over/under (total points scored) of 220.5. In San Antonio's 21 home games, the OVER has cashed 75% of the time, going 15-5-1.

According to TeamRankings, San Antonio's OVER percentage is approaching a historic number as the second half of the season approaches. The last team to finish the season with a 75% or better number in hitting the over on the total was the New Orleans Pelicans back in 2015-16; going an astounding 31-10-0 vs. the number.

Should Bettors Expect This Spurs Over Trend to Continue vs. the Thunder?

Perhaps the craziest part of this run on OVERS is In the midst of San Antonio's seven-game home stand, the Spurs have actually gone UNDER their total in their last two games and three of their last five games. As of December 26, 2001, San Antonio was 13-2-1 in OVERS at home, covering just under 87% of the time.

As for tonight's matchup, the line has already moved a point and a half up from 219 to 220.5 at WynnBET, indicating that sharp, or professional bettors expect the over to hit. The Spurs play with the fifth highest pace in the league with 100.31 possessions per game, and the Thunder rank in the middle of the pack at 16th. Where the Spurs have struggled this season has been on the defensive end. They're allowing over 115 points per game in six of their last seven matchups, as well as give up more than 4.2 more points per game in their home arena. Both should play key factors in helping the Thunder's inconsistent offense (29th in NBA offensive rating) gain more confidence on the road.

As long as the Spurs dictate the tempo and the Thunder oblige, expect the over trend to bounce back in the right direction.

LEAN: OVER 220.5 (-110)