This Surprising Trends Points to Fading Lamar Jackson vs. Texans
Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, after enjoying a BYE week they earned from being the No. 1 seed in the AFC, will welcome the Houston Texans to town in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs.
The Ravens, who many think are the best team in the league, are set as substantial favorites to the Texans, which could be bad news for anyone betting on Baltimore.
Let's take a look at the odds.
Texans vs. Ravens odds
The Ravens are set as 9.5-point favorites in this game. If you're thinking of betting on Baltimore to cover that hefty spread, just be aware that Jackson has a terrible record covering as a big time favorite.
As a favorite of more than a TD (-7.5 or higher), Lamar Jackson is 1-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons -- worst mark of 32 QBs.
— Evan Abrams (@EvanHAbrams) January 16, 2024
His only cover? Week 1 this season at home vs. Texans as 9.5-point favorites. pic.twitter.com/vh0JEoaMLG
In his career, Lamar Jackson is 1-8 against the spread over the past three seasons when the Ravens are set as favorites of 7.5 points or more. That doesn't mean he can't win this games, but covering the spread is a completely different question.
The 1-8 mark is the worst cover percentage amongst all 32 quarterbacks.
If there's any consolation, it's the fact his one cover over the past three years when set as more than a touchdown favorite was against this very Texans team back in Week 1 of this season, which was C.J. Stroud's first start.
If you want to know my best bet for this game, you can find it in this week's edition of the "Road to 272 Bets".
If you want to bet on (or against) the Ravens this week, you should place your bets at Caesars Sportsbook. If you click the link below to sign up for an account, Caesars will cover your first bet, up to $1,000!
Bet on this weekend's NFL action at Caesars now!
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
You can check out all of Iain's bets here!