Tigers vs. Rangers Prediction and Odds for Friday, August 26 (Value on Total in Poor Pitching Matchup)

Texas Rangers starting pitcher Glenn Otto.
Texas Rangers starting pitcher Glenn Otto. / Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Rangers have undergone major changes to their coaching staff and front office in recent weeks, and the team is hoping to close the 2022 season strong to use as a springboard for 2023. 

Texas has a chance to beat up on a lesser team on Friday, as the last-place Detroit Tigers come to town. Detroit has a putrid 19-42 record on the road this season, and it’s been one of the worst offenses in the Majors all season.

Tyler Alexander (3-7, 4.03 ERA) gets the ball for the Tigers in this game, in what is his 10th start of the season. Glenn Otto (5-8, 4.66 ERA) starts for Texas and will try to shake some of the demons he’s had at home this season. 

Here are the odds from WynnBET:

Tigers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line and Total

Tigers vs. Rangers Prediction and Pick

I have very little confidence in either of these teams to win this game, as the Tigers are a putrid 1-8 in Alexander’s nine starts this season, and he’s won just one start since joining the rotation after a stretch out of the bullpen in the middle of this season. 

As for Otto, he’s been horrific in Texas, compiling a 5.93 ERA in nine home starts. However, he has pitched much better in August with a 1.99 ERA in four starts. He’s walked 14 batters over the stretch, but somehow it hasn't come back to bite him yet.

I don’t love either starting pitcher, which has me leaning towards the OVER, even though Detroit’s offense is one of the worst in the league. 

Otto’s Fielding Independent Pitching is 5.73 in the month of August, which shows he’s been extremely lucky that his ERA is where it is at this point. 

If he regresses back to his usual self at home, the Tigers should be able to put up enough runs to at least get this bet to push.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.